Table 3

The Behavior of Emerging Market Returns


Summary Statistics - April 1991 to March 1996
NormalityFirstBetaBetaBeta
ArithmeticGeometricStandardTestOrderMSCIMSCIIFCG
CountryStart DateReturnReturnDeviationSkewnessKurtosisp-valueAutocorrelWorldAC WorldComposite
ArgentinaApr-9135.5%25.6%56.7%3.0916.920.000.061.531.690.91
BrazilApr-9144.3%37.1%52.2%0.891.510.000.091.191.431.38
ChileApr-9124.7%23.6%26.6%0.35-0.430.040.230.090.200.64
ChinaJan-93
ColombiaApr-9140.5%39.0%40.1%1.332.020.000.54-0.05-0.010.25
Czech RepublicJan-95
GreeceApr-91-2.7%-5.5%24.1%-0.340.060.320.160.520.540.28
HungaryJan-93
IndiaApr-9112.6%6.3%36.8%0.671.470.200.25-0.60-0.490.69
IndonesiaApr-919.5%5.5%29.2%0.150.090.830.180.580.721.04
JordanApr-9110.0%9.4%14.3%0.34-0.800.000.070.110.130.11
MalaysiaApr-9120.4%19.1%23.9%-0.061.030.26-0.160.570.670.87
MexicoApr-9115.7%8.5%37.5%-1.012.040.090.330.831.081.40
NigeriaApr-9137.5%12.7%69.5%1.1911.920.00-0.041.151.14-0.05
PakistanApr-9122.4%18.1%35.3%1.031.920.010.300.060.150.57
PeruJan-93
PhilippinesApr-9124.1%22.4%28.7%1.374.470.180.020.540.691.10
PolandJan-93
PortugalApr-918.3%6.6%19.6%0.411.550.290.010.981.010.25
South AfricaJan-93
South KoreaApr-917.8%4.7%26.0%1.071.750.030.040.410.510.68
Sri LankaJan-93
TaiwanApr-917.3%1.4%37.1%2.247.650.000.080.690.881.42
ThailandApr-9120.1%17.2%30.0%1.081.850.030.030.200.351.14
TurkeyApr-9113.6%-3.9%61.2%0.640.420.040.08-0.12-0.010.87
VenezuelaApr-91-7.0%-16.8%45.8%-0.451.910.24-0.250.450.540.57
ZimbabweApr-914.8%-1.1%34.9%0.380.870.370.320.840.900.55
MSCI WorldApr-9111.2%11.1%10.7%-0.32-0.340.08-0.251.001.010.20
MSCI AC WorldApr-9111.0%11.0%10.5%-0.23-0.390.14-0.220.981.000.25
IFCG CompositeApr-9111.4%10.6%16.4%0.933.470.080.400.470.621.00
-Composite: IFC Global Composite; AC World: MSCI All Country World Index.
-Source: IFC Global Indices, MSCI EM Indices. Monthly returns in US Dollars.


Last Updated: May 22, 1996

Analyst/Contact: Campbell R. Harvey

E-Mail Address: charvey@mail.duke.edu