Bernard Dumas
Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708
HEC, Paris
National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138
Jeff Fleming
Jones Graduate School of Business, Rice University, Houston, TX
Robert E. Whaley
Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708
Abstract
Black and Scholes (1973) implied volatilities tend to be systematically related to the option's exercise price and time to expiration. Derman and Kani (1994), Dupire (1994), and Rubinstein (1994) attribute this behavior to the fact that the Black/Scholes constant volatility assumption is violated in practice. These authors hypothesize that the volatility of the underlying asset's return is a deterministic function of the asset price and time and develop the deterministic volatility function (DVF) option valuation model, which has the potential of fitting the observed cross-section of option prices exactly. Using a sample of S&P 500 index options during the period June 1988 through December 1993, we evaluate the economic significance of the implied deterministic volatility function by examining the predictive and hedging performance of the DVF option valuation model.