Campbell Russell Harvey
cam.harvey@duke.edu
Phone: +1 919.660.7768
Fax: +1 919.660.8030
Education
Doktorer honoris causa
Hanken: Svenska Handelshögskolan, 1999.
Ph.D.
University of Chicago, 1986.
M.B.A. York University, 1983.
B.A. Trinity
College, University of Toronto, 1981.
Academic Appointments
J. Paul Sticht Professor of International Business,
Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, [joined Duke University
in 1986].
Research Associate, National
Bureau of Economic Research, appointed in 1993.
Visiting Scholar, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,
Summer 1994.
Visiting Professor of Finance, Hanken: Svenska Handelshögskolan
(Swedish School of Economics and Business
Administration), Helsinki, Summer 1996.
Visiting Professor of Finance, Handelshogskolan I
Stockholm (Stockholm School of Economics), Summer 1993.
Visiting Associate Professor of Finance, Graduate School of Business,
University of Chicago, September 1990 - August 1991.
Visiting Lecturer in Finance, Helsingin Kauppakorkeakoulu (Helsinki
School of Economics and Business Administration), Summer 1990.
Thesis
- "Recovering Expectations of Consumption Growth from an Equilibrium Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates", University of Chicago, December 1986. Committee: Eugene F. Fama (Chair), Wayne E. Ferson, Robert Stambaugh, Merton H. Miller, Shmuel Kandel and Lars P. Hansen. View PDF.
Publications
- "The Real Term Structure and Consumption Growth,"
Journal of Financial Economics 22, (1988): 305-334.
(P1)
View PDF, 2.8mb.
- "Forecasting Economic Growth with the Bond and Stock Markets,"
Financial Analysts Journal September/October,
(1989): 38-45. ( P2)
View PDF, 0.9mb.
- "Time-Varying Conditional Covariances in Tests of Asset Pricing
Models," Journal of Financial Economics 24, (1989):
289-317. (P3)
View PDF, 2.4mb.
- "Bayesian Inference in Asset Pricing Tests," with Guofu Zhou,
Journal of Financial Economics 26, (1990): 221-254.
(P4)
View PDF, 2.6mb.
- Reprinted in Andrew Lo, (ed.) Financial Econometrics, Edward Elgar, 2006.
- "The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums," with Wayne Ferson,
Journal of Political Economy 99, (1991): 285-315.
(P5)
View PDF, 4.1mb.
- "The Term Structure and World Economic Growth," Journal of
Fixed Income 1, (1991): 4-17.
(P6)
View PDF, 1.9mb.
- "Sources of Predictability in Portfolio Returns," with Wayne Ferson,
Financial Analysts Journal May/June, (1991): 49-56.
(P7)
View PDF, 1.1mb.
- "Les Taux d'Intérêt et la Croissance Economique en
France," Analyse Financière 86, (1991): 97-103.
(P8)
View PDF, 1.2mb.
- "S & P 100 Index Option Volatility," with Robert Whaley,
Journal of Finance 46, (1991): 1551-1561.
(P9)
View PDF, 1.4mb.
- "The World Price of Covariance Risk," Journal of
Finance 46, (1991): 111-157.
(P10)
View PDF, 4.5mb.
- Reprinted in G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stulz, (eds.) International Capital Markets, Edward Elgar, 2003.
- "Volatility in the Foreign Currency Futures Market," with Roger Huang,
Review of Financial Studies 4, (1991): 543-569.
(P11)
View PDF, 2.7mb.
- "Interest Rate Based Forecasts of German Economic Growth,"
Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 127, (1991): 701-718.
(P12)
View PDF, 1.6mb.
- "Dividends and S&P 100 Index Option Valuation," with Robert Whaley,
Journal of Futures Markets 12, (1992): 123-137.
(P13)
View PDF, 1.5mb.
- "Information and Volatility in the FX Market," with Roger Huang,
Finanzmarkt und Portfolio Management 6, (1992): 14-22.
(P14)
View PDF, 1.4mb.
- "Seasonality and Consumption-Based Asset Pricing," with Wayne
Ferson, Journal of Finance 47, (1992): 511-552.
(P15)
View PDF, 4.3mb.
- "Market Volatility Prediction and the Efficiency of the S&P
100 Index Option Market," with Robert Whaley, Journal of
Financial Economics 31, (1992): 43-73.
(P16)
View PDF, 3.2mb.
- "Explaining the Predictability in Asset Returns," with Wayne Ferson,
Research in Finance 11, (1993): 65-106.
(P17)
View PDF, 3.8mb.
- "The Term Structure Forecasts Economic Growth,"
Financial Analysts Journal May/June, (1993): 6-8.
(P18)
View PDF, 0.7mb.
- "Seasonality and Heteroskedasticity in Consumption-Based
Asset Pricing: An Analysis of Linear Models," with Wayne Ferson,
Research in Finance 11, (1993): 1-35.
(P19)
View PDF, 3.3mb.
- "International Asset Pricing with Alternative Distributional
Specifications," with Guofu Zhou, Journal of Empirical
Finance 1, (1993): 107-131.
(P20)
View PDF, 2.3mb.
- "The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,"
with Wayne Ferson, Review of Financial Studies 6, (1993): 527-566. (P21)
View PDF, 4.1mb.
- Reprinted in G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stulz, (eds.) International Capital Markets, Edward Elgar, 2003.
- "Strategic Treasury Debt Management in Public Policy," Policy
Studies Review 12, (1993): 76-89.
(P22)
View PDF, 1.3mb.
- "National Risk and Global Fixed Income Allocation," with Claude
Erb and Tadas Viskanta, Journal of Fixed Income September,
(1994): 17--26. (P23)
View PDF, 1.3mb.
- "Sources of Risk and Expected Returns in Global Equity Markets,"
with Wayne Ferson, Journal of Banking and Finance, (1994):
775-803. (P24)
View PDF, 2.6mb.
- "Economic Activity Measures in Nonlinear Asset Pricing,"
Advances in Financial Economics, (1995): 123-154.
(P25)
View PDF, 2.2mb.
- "Country Credit Risk and Global Portfolio Selection," with
Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, Journal of Portfolio
Management Winter, (1995): 74-83.
(P26)
View PDF, 1.2mb.
- "Forecasting International Equity Correlations," with Claude Erb
and Tadas Viskanta, Financial Analysts Journal November/December, (1994):
32-45. (P27)
View PDF, 1.9mb.
- "Do World Markets Still Serve as a Hedge?," with Claude Erb and
Tadas Viskanta, Journal of Investing Fall, (1995): 23-46.
(P28)
View PDF, 2.1mb.
- "The Cross-Section of Volatility and Autocorrelation in Emerging
Markets" Finanzmarkt und Portfolio Management 9, (1995):
12-34. (P29)
View PDF, 2.8mb.
- "The Risk Exposure of Emerging Equity Markets," World Bank
Economic Review, (1995): 19-50.
(P30)
View PDF, 2.7mb.
- "Predictability and Time-Varying Risk in World Equity Markets,"
with Wayne Ferson, Research in Finance 13, (1995): 25-88.
(P31)
View PDF, 4.7mb.
- "Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets," Review
of Financial Studies 8, (1995): 773-816.
(P32)
View PDF, 3.4mb.
- "Time-Varying World Market Integration," with Geert
Bekaert, Journal of Finance 50, (1995): 403-444. [Lead
Article] (P33)
View PDF, 4.3mb.
Also published as NBER working paper 4843.
- Also published as NBER working paper 4843.
- Reprinted in G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stulz, (eds.) International Capital Markets, Edward Elgar, 2003.
- "Inflation and World Equity Selection," with Claude Erb and
Tadas Viskanta, Financial Analysts Journal November-December, (1995):
28-42. (P34)
View PDF, 2.0mb.
Also in Japanese, Security Analysts Journal
Part I, October, (1996): 45-61; Part II, November, (1996): 84-90. (P34J)
- "The Relation Between the Term Structure of Interest Rates and Canadian
Economic Growth," Canadian Journal of Economics
30:1, (1997): 169-193. (P35)
View PDF, 2.4mb.
- "Expected Returns and Volatility in 135 Countries" with Claude Erb and
Tadas Viskanta, Journal of Portfolio Management
Spring, (1996): 46-58. (P36)
View PDF, 1.5mb.
- "Market Timing Ability and Volatility Implied in Investment
Newsletters' Asset Allocation Recommendations," with John
Graham, Journal of Financial Economics 42, 3, (1996):
397-422. (P37)
View PDF, 2.2mb.
- "Political Risk, Financial Risk and Economic Risk," with Claude
Erb and Tadas Viskanta, Financial Analysts Journal
52:6, (1996): 28-46. (P38) [prev. W23]
View PDF, 2.0mb.
Also in Japanese, Security Analysts Journal (1998):1
Part I, 109-119; (1998): Part II, 84-95 (1998). (P38J)
- "The Influence of Political, Economic and Financial Risk on
Expected Fixed Income Returns," with Claude Erb and Tadas
Viskanta, Journal of Fixed Income 6:1, (1996):
7-31 [Lead article]. (P39)
[prev. W24]
View PDF, 2.5mb.
- "Emerging Equity Market Volatility," with Geert Bekaert,
Journal of Financial Economics 43, 1, (1997): 29-78. (P40)
[prev. W14]
View PDF
- "Demographics and International Investment," with Claude Erb and
Tadas Viskanta, Financial Analysts Journal 53, 4, (1997):
14-28.(P41)[prev. W27]
View PDF, 1.7mb.
- "Fundamental Determinants of International Equity Returns: A
Perspective on Conditional Asset Pricing," with Wayne Ferson,
Journal of Banking and Finance 21, (1997): 1625-1665. (P42)[prev. W7]
View PDF of last working paper version, 4.2mb. View PDF, 9.4mb.
- "The Making of an Emerging Market," with Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta,
Emerging Markets Quarterly 1, 1, (1997) 14-19. (P43)
View PDF, 0.7mb.
- "Grading the Performance of Market Timing Newsletters," with
John Graham, Financial Analysts Journal 53, 6, (1997):
54-66. (P44)[prev. W26]
View PDF, 1.8mb.
- "What Matters for Emerging Market Investment," with Geert Bekaert, Claude B. Erb and
Tadas E. Viskanta, Emerging Markets Quarterly 1, 2, (1997): 17-46.
(P45)
View PDF, 4.2mb.
- "Distributional Characteristics of Emerging Market Returns and Asset Allocation," with
Geert Bekaert, Claude B. Erb and Tadas E. Viskanta, Journal of Portfolio
Management Winter, (1998): 102-116. (P46)
View PDF, 1.7mb.
- "Measurement Error and Nonlinearity in the Earnings-Returns Relation of Large Firms,"
with Messod Beneish, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
11, (1998): 219-247. [Lead article.] (P47) [prev. W4]
View PDF, 3.0mb.
- "Emerging/Developed Market Portfolio Mixes," with Stefano M. F. G.
Cavaglia, Magnus Dahlquist, Peter L. Rathjens and Jarrod W.
Wilcox. Emerging Markets Quarterly Winter, (1997): 47-62. (P48)
[prev. W29]
View PDF, 1.9mb.
- "The Future of Investment in Emerging Markets" NBER Reporter
Summer, (1998): 5-8. (P49)
View PDF, 1.5mb.
- "Risk in Emerging Markets" with Claude B. Erb and Tadas E. Viskanta, The Financial Survey
July/August, (1998): 42-46. (P50) [prev. W41]
View PDF, 0.8mb.
- "Contagion and Risk" with Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, in Emerging Markets Quarterly 2,
Summer, (1998): 46-64. (P51) [prev. W42]
View PDF, 2.6mb.
- "A New Perspective on Emerging Market Bonds," with Claude Erb and Tadas
Viskanta, Journal of Portfolio Management (1999): 83-92.
(P52) [prev. W36]
View PDF, 1.2mb.
- "Stock Selection in Emerging Markets: Portfolio Strategies for Malaysia,
Mexico and South Africa" with Dana Achour, Greg Hopkins and Clive Lang,
Emerging Markets Quarterly Winter, (1999): 38-91.
(P53)
View PDF, 6.4mb.
- "Autoregressive Conditional Skewness," with Akhtar Siddique, Journal of Financial
and Quantitative Analysis 34, 4, (1999): 465-488.
(P54) [prev. W22]
View PDF, X.Xmb.
- "Stock Selection in Malaysia" with Dana Achour, Greg Hopkins and Clive Lang,
Emerging Markets Quarterly Spring, (1999): 54-91
(P55)
View PDF, 5.5mb.
- "Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests," with Akhtar Siddique,
Journal of Finance 55, (2000): 1263-1295.
(P56) [prev. W17]
View PDF, 1.0mb.
- "Conditioning Variables and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns,"
with Wayne Ferson, Journal of Finance 54, (1999): 1325-1360.
(P57) [prev. W32]
View PDF, 0.2mb.
Also published as NBER working paper 7009.
- Also published as NBER working paper 7009.
- Reprinted in Robert R. Grauer, (ed.) Asset Pricing Theory and Tests, Edward Elgar, 2003.
- "Capital Markets: An Engine for Economic Growth," with Geert Bekaert,
Brown Journal of World Affairs 5, 1, Winter/Spring, (1998): 33-53.
(P58)[prev. W21]
View PDF, 1.9mb.
- "Brazil in Crisis" with Chris Lundblad and Diego Valderrama,
Emerging Markets Quarterly Spring, (1999): 4-9.
(P59)
View PDF, 1.0mb.
- "Efficient Online Non-Parametric Density Estimation," with Christophe
G. Lambert, Scott E. Harrington, Nathan D. Bronson and Arman Glodjo.
Algorithmica 25, (1999): 37-57.
(P60)[prev. W28]
View PDF, 1.8mb.
- "Forecasting emerging market returns using neural networks: A comparative study of
nine emerging markets," with Kirsten E. Travers and Michael J. Costa,
Emerging Markets Quarterly 4, 2, (2000): 43-54. (P61) [prev. W44]
View PDF, 1.7mb.
- "Economic, Financial and Fundamental Global Risk In and Out of the EMU,"
with Wayne Ferson, Swedish Economic Policy Review 6, (1999): 123-184.
(P62) [prev. W40]
View PDF, 2.1mb.
- "Stock Selection in Mexico" with Dana Achour, Greg Hopkins and Clive
Lang, Emerging Markets Quarterly 3, Fall, (1999): 38-75.
(P63) [prev. W46]
View PDF, 1.1mb.
View PDF of last working paper version, 0.3mb
- "Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets," with Geert Bekaert, Journal of Finance
55, (2000): 565-613. (P64) [prev. W31] View PDF of final JF galley, 0.5mb.
Download PDF of final working paper version.
Alternative download of last working paper version.
Also published as NBER working paper 6312.
** Supplementary tables available.**
- Also published as NBER working paper 6312.
- Reprinted in G. Andrew Karolyi and Rene M. Stulz, (eds.) International Capital Markets, Edward Elgar, 2003.
- "Firm Characteristics and Investment Strategies in Africa: The Case of South Africa" with Dana Achour, Greg Hopkins and Clive
Lang, African Finance Journal 1, (1999): 1-68. (P65) [prev. W47]
View PDF of last working paper version, 0.3mb
View PDF [not ready yet]
- "Understanding Emerging Market Bonds" with Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, in
Emerging Markets Quarterly 4, 1, (2000): 7-23, (P66) [prev. W48]
View PDF of last working paper version, 0.6mb,
View PDF of final version, 0.6mb.
- "The theory and practice of corporate finance: Evidence from the field," with
John Graham, Journal of Financial Economics 60, (2001): 187-243. (P67) [prev. W45] View PDF .
View PDF, 0.2mb Final working paper version, September 8, 2000.
- "Time-Varying Conditional Skewness and the Market Risk Premium," with Akhtar Siddique,
Research in Banking and Finance 1, (2000): 27-60.
(P68) [prev. W53]
View last PDF of last working paper version.
View PDF of final version, 0.4mb.
- "The Drivers of Expected Returns in International Markets," Emerging Markets Quarterly
(2000): 32-49. (P69) [prev. W54].
View last PDF of last working paper version.
View PDF of final version.
- "Emerging Equity Markets and Economic Development," with Geert Bekaert and Chris Lundblad, (W49)
Journal of Development Economics 66, (2001): 465-504. (P70) [prev. W49].
View PDF of last working paper version, 0.4mb
View PDF of final version, xxxmb[Not available yet]
- "Global Tactical Asset Allocation," with Magnus Dahlquist,
Emerging Markets Quarterly (2001): 6-14. (P71) [prev. W57].
View PDF of final version, 0.4mb.
View PDF of final working paper version, 0.4mb
- "The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows," with Geert Bekaert and
Robin Lumsdaine, Journal of International Money and Finance 21, 3, (2002): 295-350. (P72) [prev. W39].
View PDF 0.6mb
Download PDF of final working paper version.
Download alternative final working paper version.
- "The Impact of Federal Reserve Bank's Open Market Operations," with Roger Huang, Journal of Financial Markets 5, 2, (2002): 223-257. (P73) [prev. W3].
View PDF, 0.9mb, View PDF of last working paper version, 0.9mb,
- "The Specification of Conditional Expectations," (previous
title: "Is the Expected Compensation for Market Volatility
Constant?") Journal of
Empirical Finance 8, 5, (2001): 573-638. (P74) [prev W6]
View PDF.
View PDF of last working paper version, 1.7mb
- "Dating the Integration of World Capital Markets," with Geert Bekaert and
Robin Lumsdaine, Journal of
Financial Economics 65, 2, (2002): 203-249. (P75) [prev W38]
View PDF, (not available yet). Supplementary graphs and tables available
here. Download PDF of final working paper version. View final working paper version.
View PDF of Galley Proofs.
- "How do CFOs make capital budgeting and capital structure decisions?," with John Graham, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 15, 1, (2002): 8-23. (P76) [prev. W62]
View PDF of final working paper, .3mb,
View Galley.
- "Market Integration and Contagion," with Geert Bekaert and Angela Ng, Journal of Business 78, (2005): 39-70. (P77) [prev. W59] Download PDF of final working paper version.
Alternative download of final working paper version, View PDF [Not yet available].
- "Research in Emerging Markets Finance: Looking to the Future," with Geert Bekaert, (P78) [prev. W69],
Emerging Markets Review 2002, 429-448.
View PDF of last working paper version, .3mb. View PDF of gallies, .6mb. .
- "What Determines Expected International Asset Returns?" with
Bruno Solnik and Guofu Zhou. (P79) [prev. W8] Annals of Economics and Finance 3, (2002): 249-298. View PDF, 0.6mb.
View PDF of final working paper version, 4.0mb.
- "Are Correlations of Stock Returns Justified by Subsequent Changes
in National Outputs," with Bernard Dumas and Pierre Ruiz (P80) [prev. W34] Journal of International Money and Finance 22, (2003): 777-811. View PDF, 0.6mb [Not yet available.]. View PDF of galleys, 0.6mb.
View PDF of final working paper version, 1.8mb
- "A Brief Note from the Editors," with Javier Estrada and Robert Bruner, (P81),
Emerging Markets Review, (2002): 307-309. View PDF [Not available yet].
- "Implications for Asset Allocation, Portfolio Management, and Future Research", AIMR Equity Premium Forum,
October, (2002): 92-96. (P82) View PDF, 1mb .
- "Emerging Markets Finance," with Geert Bekaert, (P83) [Prev. W65] Journal of Empirical Finance 10, (2003): 3-56.
Download PDF of final working paper version.
View PDF .3mb,
- "Foreward by the Editors," with Geert Bekaert, (P84) Journal of Empirical Finance 10, (2003): 1.
View PDF .1mb,
- "Equity Market Liberalization in Emerging Markets," with Geert Bekaert and Christian Lundblad, (P85a) The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 85:4, (2003): 53-74,
View PDF .1mb,
- "Equity Market Liberalization in Emerging Markets," with Geert Bekaert and Christian Lundblad, (P85b) Journal of Financial Research 26, (2003): 275-299,
View PDF .1mb,
- "The effect of capital structure when expected agency costs are extreme," with Karl Lins and
Andrew Roper, Journal of Financial Economics 74, (2004): 3-30. (P86) [Prev. W55]
Download PDF of final working paper version.
Alternative download of final working paper version.,
View PDF (not yet available), 0.4mb,
- "Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth," with Geert Bekaert and Chris Lundblad, Journal of Financial Economics 77, (2005): 3-56. [Lead article] (P87) [Prev. W56]
- "Payout Policy in the 21st Century" with Alon Brav, John Graham and Roni Michaeli, Journal of Financial Economics, 77:3, (2005): 483-528. [Lead article]. (P88) [Prev. W71)
Download PDF of final working paper version.
Alternative download of final working paper version. View PDF.
- "The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting" with John Graham and Shiva Rajgopal, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 40, (2005):3-73. [Lead article]. (P89) [Prev. W73]
Download PDF of final working paper version.
Alternative download of final working paper version.
- "Growth Volatility and Equity Market Liberalization," with Geert Bekaert and Chris Lundblad, Journal of International Money and Finance, (2006): 25:3, 370-403.. (P90) [Prev W60]
Download PDF of working paper.
Alternative download of final working paper version. Published version.
- "The Long-Run Equity Risk Premium," with John Graham, Finance Research Letters, 2, (2005): 185-194. [Lead article]. (P91) [Prev W79]
Download PDF.
Alternative download.
- "The Strategic and Tactical Value of Commodity Futures" with Claude Erb, Financial Analysts Journal, 62:2, March/April, 69-97. (P91) (Prev W77)
- "Growth Opportunities and Market Integration," with Geert Bekaert, Chris Lundblad, and Stephan Siegel, Journal of Finance , 62, June 2007, 1081-1138. (P93) [Prev W75]
Download PDF. Alternative download.
- "Value Destruction and Financial Reporting Decisions" with John Graham and Shiva Rajgopal, Financial Analysts Journal, Nov/Dec 2006, 27-39. (P94) [Prev W79]
Download PDF.
Alternative download.
- Graham and Dodd Scroll (Runner-up best paper in 2006 Financial Analysts Journal, Sponsored by the CFA Institute).
- "Bayes vs. Markowitz: A Rematch" with John Liechty and Merrill Liechty, Journal of Investment Management
, 2008, First Quarter, 29-45. (P95) [Prev W82]
- "Managerial Response to the May 2003 Dividend Tax Cut" with Alon Brav, John Graham, and Roni Michaely (P96) [Prev W83], Managerial Finance, forthcoming.
Download PDF.
Alternative download.
- "The Equity Risk Premium in January 2007: Evidence from the Global CFO Surveyt" with John Graham (P97) [Prev W78], The ICFAI Journal of Financial Risk Management, IV:2, June 2007, 46-61.
Download PDF.
Alternative download.
- "Liquidity and Expected Returns:
Lessons from Emerging Markets," with Geert Bekaert and Chris Lundblad, Review of Financial Studies, 2007, 20:6, 1783-1832. (P98) [Prev W67]
- "Darden conference issue: Capital raising in emerging economies," with Marc Lipson and Frank Warnock, Journal of Financial Economics, 2008, forthcoming. (P99)
- "Comments on Bayes vs. Markowitz: A Rematch" with John Liechty and Merrill Liechty, a href="http://www.joim.com/">Journal of Investment Management, Forthcoming (P100)
Working Papers
- "Conditional Asset Allocation in Emerging Markets,"
(W1)
View PDF, 3.5mb
- "Public Information and Fixed Income Volatility," with Roger Huang.
(W2)
View PDF, 2.3mb
- "Global Risk Exposure to a Trade-Weighted
Currency Index," (W10)
View PDF, 5.8mb
- "Forecasting Foreign Exchange Market Returns via Entropy Based
Coding: The Framework," with Arman Glodjo.
(W13)
View PDF, 2.6mb
- "Analytic Tests of Linear Factor Models," with Chris Kirby.
(W18)
View PDF, 3.2mb
- "Performance Evaluation in the Presence of Dynamic Trading
Strategies," with Ravi Bansal.
(W19)
View PDF, 3.2mb
- "The International Cost of Capital and Risk Calculator,"
(W35)
View PDF, 1.2mb
- "Promotion or demotion? An empirical investigation of the determinants of top mutual fund
manager change," with Alastair R. Hall and Fan Hu, (W50)
View PDF, xxxmb
- "The cross-section of expected risk exposure," with Akhtar Siddique, (W51)
View PDF, xxxmb
- "Expectations of equity risk premia, volatility and asymmetry from a corporate finance perspective," with John Graham (W58)
Download PDF.
View PDF, 0.4mb.
- "Large Scale Privatization and the Dynamics of Emerging Equity Markets," with Geert Bekaert and Andrew Roper. (W66)
View PDF, .3mb.
- "Portfolio Selection with Higher Moments" with Merrill Liechty, John Liechty and Peter Muller, (W70)
Download PDF.
Alternative download.
- "The Theory and Practice of Corporate Finance: The Data" with John Graham, (W72)
Download PDF.
Alternative download
- "Dynamic Trading Strategies and Portfolio Choice" with Ravi Bansal and Magnus Dahlquist, (W74)
- "Investor Competence, Trading Frequency, and Home Bias" with John Graham and Hai Huang, (W76)
- "Financial Openness and the Chinese Growth Experience" with Geert Bekaert, Chris Lundblad, (W80)
Download PDF.
Alternative download.
- "Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Policies" with Zahi Ben-David and John Graham, (W81)
- "Managerial Attitudes and Corporate Actions" with John Graham and Manju Puri, (W84).
- "What Segments Equity Markets" with Geert Bekaert, Chris Lundblad, and Stephan Siegel, (W85).
- "Stock Market Valuation and Globalization" with Geert Bekaert, Chris Lundblad, and Stephan Siegel, (W86).
- "The Effect of the May 2003 Dividend Tax Cut on Corporate Dividend Policy: Empirical and Survey Evidence" with Alon Brav, John Graham, and Roni Michaely (W87).
Books, Chapters, Monographs
- "An Exploratory Investigation of the Fundamental Determinants
of National Equity Market Returns," with Wayne Ferson, in Jeffrey
Frankel, Editor, The Internationalization of Equity
Markets, (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1994,
pp. 59-138). (C1)
View PDF, 6.3mb
- "Portfolio Enhancement using Emerging Markets and Conditioning
Information," in Stijn Claessens and Shan Gooptu, Eds.,
Portfolio Investment in Developing Countries,
(Washington: The World Bank Discussion Series, 1993, pp. 110-144).
(C2)
View PDF last working paper version, 2.1mb,
View PDF,, 3.8mb
- "The World Price of Covariance Risk," in Stanley Stansell, Editor,
International Financial Market Integration, (London: Basil
Blackwell, 1993, pp. 187-234). (C3)
- "la Capacità Previsiva della Struttura per Scadenza dei
Tassi d'Interesse Italiani in Relazione alla Crescita
Economica Reale," with Sidhartha Kaul and Chris M. Kirby,
Serie Economica, 1990, CRF Gruppo IMI.
(C4)
View PDF, 1.6mb
- "The Contribution of Speculators to Effective Financial Markets,"
with Geert Bekaert and Márcio G.P. Garcia, Catalyst
Monograph Series, 1995, Catalyst Institute.
(C5)
View PDF, 4.8mb
- "The Role of Capital Markets in Economic Growth," with Geert
Bekaert and Márcio G.P. Garcia, Catalyst Monograph
Series, 1995, Catalyst Institute.
(C6)
View PDF, 4.9mb
- "Capital Markets: An Engine for Economic Growth," with Geert
Bekaert, Catalyst Monograph Series, 1995, Catalyst
Institute. (C7)
View PDF, 3.3mb
- "Instrumental Variables Estimation of Conditional Beta Pricing
Models," with Christopher Kirby, Handbook of
Statistics 14, G.S. Maddala, C.R. Rao and
H.D. Vinod, Eds., North Holland,
1996, 35-60. (C8)
View PDF, 2.5
- "The Risk Exposure of Emerging Equity Markets," in Investing
in Emerging Markets Mike J. Howell, Ed., London, 1994, pp.
116-174. [Expanded version of W30]. (C9)
View PDF, 4.9mb
- "The Behavior of Emerging Market Returns," with Geert Bekaert,
Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, in The Future of Emerging
Market Capital Flows, in Richard Levich (ed.), Boston:
Kluwer Academic Publishers), 1998, Chapter 5, 107-173.
(C10) [prev. W25]
View PDF, 4.4mb
- "The Cross-Sectional Determinants of Emerging Equity Market Returns,"
with Geert Bekaert, Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, in
Peter Carman, ed.,
Quantitative Investing ofr the Global Markets: Strategies,
Tactics, and Advanced Analytical Techniques, 1997,
(Chicago: Glenlake Publishing), 221-272. (C11)
View PDF, 4.4mb
- "The Risk and Expected Returns of African Equity Investments," with
Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, in Paul Collier and Cathy Pattillo, Eds., Investment
and Risk in Africa, (MacMillan), 2000, 122-145. (C12) [prev. W30]
View PDF of last working paper version, 2.1mb,
View PDF, 2.1mb
- Country Risk in Global Financial Management, with Claude B. Erb and Tadas E.
Viskanta, AIMR, 1997. (C13) [prev. W33]
View PDF of last working paper version, 7.7mb,
View PDF, 7.7mb
- "Capital Flows and the Behavior of Emerging Market
Equity Returns," with Geert Bekaert, in Sebastian Edwards, Capital Inflows to Emerging Markets
NBER and University of Chicago Press, 2000, 159-194. (C14) [prev. W37]
View PDF of last working paper version.
View PDF.
- "Forecasting emerging market returns using neutral networks," with Kirsten E. Travers and
Michael J. Costa, in Institutional Investor's,
Financial Technology,
June 1999, 25-36. (C15)
View PDF, 1.1mb
- "The variation of economic risk premiums," with Wayne E. Ferson, in Robert Korajczyk, Ed.,
Asset pricing and portfolio performance: Models, strategy and performance
metrics,
1999, London: Risk Books. (C16)
View PDF, 3.8mb
- "The Asian Bet,"
with Andrew Roper, in Alison Harwood, Robert E. Litan and Michael Pomerleano, Eds.,
The Crisis in Emerging Financial Markets, Brookings Institution Press, 1999, pp. 29-115.
(C17)[prev. W43].
View PDF.
View PDF of last working paper version, 0.8mb
- "Glossary of Equity Related Terms," in Reuters Financial Training Series,
An Introduction to Equity Markets, John Willey and Sons, Singapore,
1999.
(C18)
View PDF.
- "New Perspectives on Emerging Market Bonds," in G. Philippatos and G. Koutmos, eds.,
International Securities, Volume II, Edward Elgar Publishing, UK, 317-326, 2002. (C19)
View PDF, 1.2mb.
- "Asset Pricing in Emerging Markets," in Orley Ashenfelter, Section Editor, International Encyclopedia of the Social
and Behavioral Sciences, Elsevier Science Limited, 2001, 840-845. (C20) [previous W54].
View PDF of last working paper version, 1mb
View PDF, [not yet available].
- "Glossary," in Brian Bruce, Ed.,
Enhanced Indexing, New Strategies and Techniques for Plan Sponsors,
Fall 2000, New York: Institutional Investor Publishing.
(C21)
View PDF, [not yet available].
- "Economic Growth and Financial Liberalization", with Geert Bekaert, in NBER Reporter, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge MA, Spring 2001, 8-11. (C22) View PDF of last working paper version, View PDF
- "Glossary," in Brian Bruce, Ed.,
Transactions Costs, A Cutting-Edge Guide to Best Execution,
Spring 2001, New York: Institutional Investor Publishing.
(C23)
View PDF, [not yet available].
- The New York Times Dictionary of Money and Investing, 2002, with Gretchen Morganson, New York: Henry Holt and Company and Times Books, forthcoming.
(C24)
View PDF, [not yet available].
- "New Perspectives on Emerging Market Bonds," in George Philippatos and Gregory Koutmos, Eds., International Securities, 2001, with Claude Erb and Tadas Viskanta, Edward Elgar, Northampton, MA, forthcoming.
(C25)
View PDF, 1.2mb.
- "Glossary," in Adam Leitzes and Joshua Solan,
Bulls, Bears and Brains: Investing with the Best and Brightest of the Financial
Internet, John Wiley and Sons, 2001,
forthcoming
(C26)
View PDF, [not yet available].
- "Glossary," in James J. Keenan,
Ignorance is risk!, Cogent Publishing, Boca Raton, FL. 197-204.
forthcoming
(C27)
View PDF, [not yet available].
- Emerging Markets with Geert Bekaert, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2004.
(C28)
View PDF, [not yet available].
- Country Risk Components, the Cost of Capital, and Returns in Emerging Markets, in Sam Wilkin, Ed., Country and Political Risk: Practical Insights for Global Finance,
Risk Books, 2004, pp.71-102.
(C29)
View PDF.
- Ertragsquellen und zu erwartende Renditen von Rohstoff-Investments, with Claude B. Erb, in Michael Busack and Dieter G. Kaiser (Eds.), Handbuch Alternative Investments, 2006, 349-392. (C30)
- "Financial Openness and the Chinese Growth Experience" with Geert Bekaert, Chris Lundblad, in Charles W. Calomiris, ed., China's Financial Transition at a Crossroads, 2007, New York: Columbia University Press, 202-280. (C31) [Prev W80]
Cases
Editor
- AMERICAN FINANCE ASSOCIATION: Report of the Editor of The Journal of Finance for the Year 2006, Journal of Finance (2007) 62:4, 2041-2052. (E1)
- AMERICAN FINANCE ASSOCIATION: Report of the Editor of The Journal of Finance for the Year 2007, Journal of Finance (2008) 63:4, forthcoming.(E2)
Reviews
- "The Econometrics of Financial Markets," Journal of Finance (1998) 53,
803-806.
Published Discussions
- Commentary on "A Test of International CAPM Using Business
Cycle Indicators as Instrumental Variables," in
Internationalization of Equity Markets, (Chicago:
University of Chicago Press, 1994, pp. 50--54).
(PD1)
View PDF, 0.4mb
- Commentary on "Emerging Stock Markets and International Asset
Pricing," in Stijn Claessens and Shan Gooptu, Eds., Portfolio
Investment in Developing Counties, (Washington: The World Bank
of Discussion Series, 1994, pp. 183-184).
(PD2)
View PDF, 0.4mb
- Commentary on "Testing the Unbiasedness in Foreign Exchange
Markets: The Effects of Price Limits,"Review of Futures
Markets 7 (1988): 167-172.
(PD3)
View PDF, 0.7mb
Internet
My hypertextual financial glossary resides on a number of important sites.
Intranet
My hypertextual financial glossary resides on a number of closed sites.
Policy
- "Managing the Maturity Structure of Treasury Debt &The Role
of Floating-Rate Treasury Bonds," Presentation to the Hearings
on President Clinton's Plan for Public Investment and Deficit
Reduction Committee on Ways and Means of the United States
House of Representatives, 103rd Congress, First Session, (1993):
103-127, pp. 1644-1649. (View HTML abstract POLICY1)
View PDF, 0.8mb
Executive Education Materials
- Value and Risk Management Through Derivatives
(PM1)
View PDF, 5.0mb
- Lessons in Risk Management
(PM2)
View PDF, 1.0mb
- Option Valuation in Corporate Fiance
(PM3)
View PDF, 7.6mb
- Value Creation (PM4)
- Long-term value
- International perspective
- Value added metrics
- Discounted cash flow metrics
- Value management
- Risk Management and value
- Financial engineering
View PDF, 5.8mb
- Active Investment in Developed and Emerging Markets
(PM5)
- Why invest internationally?
- Foreign exchange risk
- Predictability
- Emerging markets
- Managing in bull and bear markets
- Managing in low and high volatility markets
- Portfolio strategy and the business cycle
- Inflation and world equity returns
- Do world markets still serve as a hedge?
- What about Mexico?
View PDF, 4.8mb
- Time-varying International Correlations: Implications for Global
Diversification (PM6)
View PDF, 1.8mb
- Predictable Returns in Developed and Emerging Markets
(PM7)
View PDF, 1.1mb
- Return Prediction for Dynamic Trading Strategies
(PM8)
View PDF, 1.2mb
- Mathematics for Finance (PM9)
View PDF, 1.2mb
- Emerging Markets: Opportunities and Risks
(PM10)
View PDF, 0.7mb
- An Introduction to Conditional Asset Allocation
(PM11)
View PDF, 1.8mb
- The Implications of Predictable Returns in Asset Markets
(PM12)
View PDF, 2.0mb
- Global Financial Management and Country Risk
(PM13)
View PDF, 3.8mb
- Stock Market Predictability and Active Asset Allocation
in Emerging and Mature Markets (PM14)
View PDF, 5.0mb
- Towards a Truly Global Portfolio Strategy: New Directions in
Dynamically Forecasting and Comparing the Risk and Returns of Worldwide
Stocks (PM15)
View PDF, 0.5mb
- Outperforming in Emerging Markets: Using Quantitative Methods
(PM16) View PDF, 2.2mb
- Active Asset Allocation: Does it Work? (PM17)
View PDF, 2.1mb
- What Matters for Emerging Markets Investments (PM18)
View PDF, 4.3mb
- I. Recent Advances in Cost of Capital Measurement; II. Global Financial Management
and Shareholder Value (PM19)
View PDF, 2.6mb
- An Introduction to Dynamic Global Financial Management (PM20)
View PDF, 1.1mb
- Emerging Markets: Unsolved Puzzles (PM21)
View PDF, 0.9mb
- Emerging Market Debt: A Global Perspective (PM22)
View PDF, 2.0mb
- Cross-Sectional Prediction in Dynamic Trading Strategies(PM23)
View PDF, 0.8mb
- Stock Selection in Emerging Markets (PM24)
View PDF, 1.5mb
- Conditioning Variables and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns (PM25)
View PDF, 0.7mb
- The International Cost of Capital (PM26)
View PDF, 0.9mb
- Global Risk Analysis and Valuation (PM27)
View PDF, 2.7mb
- Perspectives on Corporate Yield Spreads: Variation through Time and Predictability
(PM28)
View PDF, 0.4mb
- The Theory and Practice of Corporate Finance: Evidence from the Field; Harvard Conference Presentation, July 8, 1999
(PM29)
View PDF, 0.1mb
- The Theory and Practice of Corporate Finance: Evidence from the Field; Utah Winter Finance Conference, February 2000
(PM29)
View ppt slides, 0.1mb
- Economic, Political and Other Factors; CalPERS Permissable Country Workshop, December 13, 1999
(PM30)
View PDF, 0.5mb
- The Asian Bet, Global Investors Conference, April 12-15th, 2000,
(PM31)
View powerpoint, 0.5mb
- Techology's Impact on Corporations: Financial Structures and the Barter Economy, Deutsche Bank's Spokesman's Challenge, November 3, 2000,
(PM32)
View powerpoint, 0.5mb
- The Factors that Drive Expected Returns and Risk, SimCorp Advanced Portfolio Management Conference, Copenhagen, December 12, 2000,
(PM33)
View powerpoint, 1.8mb
- Barter, Auction and Technology.Implications for Cash Management, Association of Financial Planners, August 20, 2001, (PM34) View pdf, 0.2mb
- Forex in the Future: Implications for Cash Management, Association of Financial Planners, August 21, 2001, (PM35) View pdf, 3mb
- The Financial and Economic Impact of September 11, 2001, The Terrorism Crisis and the World Economy: What Effects, What Strategies? October 8, 2001,
Duke University (PM36) View powerpoint
- Financial Valuation in a Time of Crisis, October 26, 2001,
Duke University (PM37) View powerpoint
- Economic, Financial and Political Risk in Portfolio and Direct Investment, November 5, 2001,
Duke University (PM38) View powerpoint
- Expectations of equity risk premia, volatility and asymmetry from a corporate finance perspective, November 8, 2001,
New York, AIMR Conference of the Risk Premium, (PM39) View powerpoint
- Risk Analysis and Project Evaluation, May 29, 2002,
Project Appraisal and Risk Management, Duke Center for International Development at the Sanford Institute, (PM40) View powerpoint
- Emerging Markets Research: The Past and Future, May 31, 2002, Keynote Speech, Valuation in Emerging Markets, Darden School at the University of Virginia,
(PM41) View powerpoint
- The Term Structure and Economic Growth: The Recession of 2001, October 2002, (PM42) View powerpoint
Editorial Appointments
- Editor,
Journal of Finance, July 2006-July 2012.
- Co-Editor,
Review of Financial Studies, July 1999-2005. [6 year term.]
- Co-Editor,
Emerging Markets Review, 2001-2005.
- Co-Editor,
Emerging Markets Quarterly, 1996-2001.
- Associate Editor,
Journal of
Financial Economics, 1995-.
- Associate Editor,
Journal of Finance, 1994-2000.
- Associate Editor,
Financial Analysts Journal, 2002-.
- Associate Editor, Review of Financial Studies, 1991-1994
[3 year term].
- Associate Editor, Journal of Banking and Finance,
1994-2005. 2008-present.
- Advisory Board, Financial Economics Network's Capital Markets Journal
, 1998-
- Advisory Board, Financial Economics Network's Course Journal
, 1998-
- Associate Editor, Journal of Empirical Finance,
1992-present.
- Associate Editor, Journal of International Financial Markets,
Institutions and Money, 1996-present.
- Associate Editor, Journal of Fixed Income,
1991-present.
- Associate Editor, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,
1994-present.
- Advisory Editor, European Journal of Finance,
1994-present.
- Associate Editor, European Financial Management,
1999-present.
- Associate Editor, International Review of Economics and Finance,
1999-present.
- Associate Editor, Research in Banking and Finance,
2000-present.
- Advisory Editor, Emerging Markets Review,
2006-present.
- Advisory Editor, Frontiers in Finance and Economics,
2004-present.
- Associate Editor, International Journal of Managerial Finance,
2004-present.
- Associate Editor, Journal of Financial and Quantitative
Analysis, 1991-1999.
- Program Committee, Western Finance Association Meetings, 1989,
1991-2001.
- Program committee, American Finance Association Meetings, 1996
Appointments
- Director, American Finance Association, 2001-2004.
- Director, Western Finance Association, 2001-2004.
- Nominating Committee, American Finance Association, 1997-1998.
- Acting President,
African Finance Association, 2000-2001.
- Advisory Board, World Bank-International Monetary Fund-Brookings Institution
Financial Markets and Development Conference, 1997-present.
Honors
- James R. Vertin Award, 2007, CFA Institute. The James R. Vertin Award is presented periodically to recognize individuals who have produced a body of research notable for its relevance and enduring value to investment professionals.
- Graham and Dodd Award, 2007, CFA Institute. Best paper award in 2006 Financial Analysts Journal for "The Strategic and Tactical Value of Commodity Futures"
- Graham and Dodd Scroll, 2007, CFA Institute. Runner up best paper award in 2006 Financial Analysts Journal for "Value Destruction and Corporate Financial Reporting"
- Notable Contribution Award, 2006, American Accounting Association, for
"The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting"
- Best Paper Award, 2006 Financial Accounting and Reporting Section of the American Accounting Association, for
"The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting"
- First Prize, 2006 Jensen Prize for Corporate Finance and Organizations in Journal of Financial Economics, for
"Payout Policy in the 21st Century"
- First Prize, 2001 Jensen Prize for Corporate Finance and Organizations in Journal of Financial Economics, for
"The Theory and Practice of Corporate Finance: Evidence from the Field"
- Honorable mention, 2002 DaimlerChrysler Corporation Award for Innovation and Excellence in Teaching, Fuqua School of Business,
- Barclay's Global Investors Award for the best paper at the 2001 European Finance
Association Meetings, Barcelona, for "Does Liberalization Spur Growth?"
- New York Stock Exchange Award for the best paper on equity trading at the 2000 Western Finance
Association Meetings, for "The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows,"
- Batterymarch Fellowship, 1993-1994.
- Graham and Dodd Scroll for excellence in financial writing for "Demographics and
International Investments," Financial Analysts Journal, 1997.
- Graham and Dodd Scroll for excellence in financial writing for "Political Risk, Economic
Risk and Financial Risk," Financial Analysts Journal, 1996.
- Graham and Dodd Scroll, 1995 for excellence in financial writing for
"Inflation and World Equity Returns" Financial Analysts
Journal 1995.
- Graham and Dodd Scroll for excellence in financial writing for
"Sources of Predictability in Portfolio Returns," Financial
Analysts Journal, 1991.
- Institute for Research in Quantitative Finance, Second Prize in the
Roger F. Murray Prize Competition for "Stock Selection in Emerging Markets," 1998.
- Institute for Research in Quantitative Finance, Second Prize in the
Roger F. Murray Prize Competition for "Do World Markets Still
Serve as a Hedge," 1995.
- American Association of Individual Investors Award for the Best
Paper in Investments for "Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging
Markets," 1994.
- Smith-Breeden Distinguished Paper Nomination for "Time-Varying World
Market Integration," Journal of Finance, 1995.
- Smith-Breeden Distinguished Paper Nomination for "Seasonality
and Consumption-Based Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance,
1992.
- Smith-Breeden Distinguished Paper Award for "The World Price of
Covariance Risk," Journal of Finance, 1991.
- Bank of America Faculty Award, Fuqua School of Business, 1994.
- Richard L. Rosenthal Award, 1989-90.
- Outstanding Teacher Award, Fuqua School of Business, 1987-88.
- Full Scholarship, University of Chicago, 1983-86.
- Doctoral Fellowship, Social Sciences and Humanities Research
Council of Canada, 1984-86.
- Graduated first in M.B.A. class of 1983.
Teaching MBA/Ph.D
- Named one of the outstanding faculty at Duke by Business Week, 1998, 2001.
- Financial Management [Duke University - 1st year MBA]
- Average Rating over 17 sections (1987-97):6.16/7.00
- Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management
[Duke University - 2nd year MBA]
- Average Rating over 7 sections (1987-93):6.48/7.00
- Global Asset Allocation and Stock Selection [Duke University - 2nd year MBA]
- Rating 2004: 6.73/7.00; Average hours per week outside class: 14.00
- Emerging Market Corporate Finance [Duke University - 2nd year MBA]
- Rating 2004: 6.44/7.00; Average hours per week outside the class: 10.10
- Investment [University of Chicago - 1st year MBA]
- Average Rating over 4 sections (1991): 4.55/5.00
- Average Rating over 2 sections (1995): 4.70/5.00
- Empirical Asset Pricing - Ph.D. [Helsingin Kauppakorkeakoulu (1990)],
[Handelshögskogskolan I Stockholm (1993)],
[Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration (1996)]
Grants
- William Davidson Institute, University of Michigan, 1996-97.
- Business Associates Fund, Duke University, 1987-93.
- University Research Council Grant, Duke University, 1987-88.
- Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago,
1984-85.
Presentations
2007
- The αβc's of Commodity Investing, CFA Institute Conference, July 16, 2007, Chicago.
2006
2005
- The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures, Q-Group Spring Seminar, April 4, 2005, Key Largo.
- Optimism and Corporate Actions, Yale University, April, 2005.
- Optimism and Corporate Actions, MIT, April, 2005.
- The Economic Implications of Corporate Financial Reporting, Keynote Address, Global Finance Conference, Dublin, Ireland, June 2005.
- The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures, SQA keynote address, New York, July 2005.
- The Tactical and Strategic Value of Commodity Futures, First Quadrant Conference, August 2005.
- Global Asset Allocation: 2010 and Beyond, Lehman Brothers Conference, September 2005.
- Growth Opportunities and Market Integration, Harvard University, November 2005.
2004
- The economic implications of corporate financial reporting, Q-Group, La Quinta, California, October 2004.
- The economic implications of corporate financial reporting, University of Chicago, September, 2004.
- The economic implications of corporate financial reporting, University of Southern California, September, 2004.
- Portfolio Selection with Higher Moments, Boston College Conference, June 2004.
- Payout policy in the 21st century, Tuck Conference on Corporate Governance, July 2004.
- Does financial liberalization spur growth?, New York University, April 2004.
2003
- The effect of capital structure when expected agency costs are extreme, Western Finance Association Meetings, Mexico, June.
- Payout policy in the 21st century, Western Finance Association Meetings, Mexico, June.
- Growth Volatility and Equity Market Liberalization, Western Finance Association Meetings, Mexico, June.
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?, University of California at Los Angeles, April 2003
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?, World Bank, March 2003
- Growth Volatility and Equity Market Liberalization, American Economic Association Meetings, Washington, January.
- Market Integration and Contagion, American Economic Association Meetings,
Washington, January.
2002
- Higher Moments in Asset Pricing, INQUIRE UK, Bournemouth, UK, September 2002
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?, Princeton University, September 2002
- Expectations of equity risk premia, volatility and asymmetry from a corporate finance perspective,
Western Finance Association Meetings, Park City, June 2002.
- Emerging Markets Research: The Past and the Future, Emerging Market Valuation Conference,
Darden School, May 2002.
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?, Boston College, February 2002
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?, University of Michigan, February 2002
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?,
American Finance Association Meetings, Atlanta, January.
- The effect of capital structure when expected agency costs are extreme, American Finance Association Meetings, Atlanta, January.
2001
- Expectations of equity risk premia, volatility and asymmetry from a corporate finance perspective,
New York, AIMR Conference of the Risk Premium, November 8, 2001.
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?,
University of Michigan, October.
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?,
Boston College, October.
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?,
European Finance Association Meetings, Barcelona, August.
- Dating the Integration of World Capital Markets,
European Finance Association Meetings, Barcelona, August.
- Does Financial Liberalization Spur Growth?,
Western Finance Association Meetings, Tuscon, June.
2000
- Global Relative Value in the Early 21st Century, Lehman Brothers Fourth
Global Fixed Income Capital Market/Investment Management Workshop/Retreat, Whistler, August 2, 2000.
- The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows, Western Finance Association Meetings,
June 2000.
- The Asian Bet,
Global Investors Conference, April 12-15th, 2000,
Chateau Whistler, B.C. [Presented by coauthor]
- The theory and practice of corporate finance: Evidence from the field,
Utah Winter Finance Conference, February 3, 2000. [Presented by coauthor]
1999
- Economic, Political and Other Factors, CalPERS Permissible Country Workshop,
Sacramento, December 13, 1999.
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets, Indiana University,
October 22, 1999.
- New perspectives on emerging bond markets, International Investment Forum,
Chicago, October 25, 1999. [Presented by coauthor]
- The theory and practice of corporate finance: Evidence from the field,
Harvard University, July 8, 1999.
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets, International Valuation
Conference, Columbia University, April 30, 1999.
- Stock Selection in Emerging Markets, International Valuation
Conference, Columbia University, April 30, 1999.
- Perspectives on Corporate Yield Spreads: Variation through Time and Predictability,
Investment Research and Portfolio Management Conference, Smith Breeden Associates, Chapel Hill,
April 23, 1999.
- The Dynamics of Emerging Market Equity Flows, University of Maryland,
April 16, 1999.
- The Asian Bet, Brookings-World Bank Conference on Emerging Markets, Palisades, New York,
March 16, 1999.
1998
- The International Cost of Capital, Ibbotson Associates Annual Cost of Capital Conference,
Chicago, June 1998.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Harvard Business School, May 1998.
- Capital Flows and the Behavior of Emerging Market Returns,
National Bureau of Economic Research, March 1998.
- Are Common Swings in International Stock Returns Justified by Subsequent Changes in National Outputs?,
Yale University, Economics Department, March 1998 [by co-author].
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets,
CIBER Conference, UCLA, March 1998.
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets,
Brown University, Economics Department, February 1998 [by coauthor].
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets,
University of Virginia, Darden, January 1998 [by coauthor].
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets,
Maryland, January 1998 [by coauthor].
1997
- Dating the Integration of World Equity Markets,
Cambridge University, Economics Department, December 1997 [by coauthor].
- Are Common Swings in International Stock Returns Justified by Subsequent Changes in National Outputs?,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Wharton School, November 1997.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
UCLA-Finance, November 1997.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Wharton School, October 1997.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
University of Southern California, October 1997 [by coauthor].
- Current Research Issues in Finance,
FMA doctoral student seminar, Hawaii, October 15, 1997 (live video).
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
UCLA-Economics, October 1997 [by coauthor].
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
European Finance Association Meetings, Vienna, September 1997 [by coauthor].
- Cross-Sectional Determinants of Emerging Market Returns,
Chicago Quantitative Alliance, September 1997.
- Emerging Market Debt: A Global Perspective,
Association for Investment Management and Research, Financial Analysts Seminar,
Northwestern University, July 1997.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Western Finance Association Meetings, San Diego, June 1997 [by coauthor].
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
French Finance Association Meetings, Grenoble, June 1997.
- Emerging Markets: Unsolved Puzzles,
Society of Quantitative Analysts, New York, May 1997.
- Cross-Sectional Determinants of Emerging Market Returns,
NYU Conference on the Future of Emerging Market Capital Flows, New York, May 1997.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Barclays Global Investors, April 1997 [by coauthor].
- Do World Markets Still Serve as a Hedge?,
Committee on the Investment of Employee Benefit Assets, Washington, April 1997.
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
International Finance Conference at Georgia Tech, April 1997 [by coauthor].
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration, Helsinki, March 1997 [by coauthor].
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Tilburg University, February 1997, [by coauthor].
- Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests,
American Finance Association Meetings, New Orleans, January 1997 [by coauthor].
1996
- Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets,
Stockholm School of Economics, December 1996 [by coauthor].
- Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests,
Conference on Finance and Accounting, Rutgers University, October 1996 [by coauthor].
- What Matters for Emerging Market Investments?,
Chicago Quantitative Alliance, Chicago September 18, 1996.
- Outperforming in Emerging Markets using Quantitative Models,
Goldman Sachs Asset Management Conference, Aspen, September 1996.
- Active Asset Allocation: Does it Work?,
Goldman Sachs Asset Management Conference, Aspen, September 1996.
- Efficient Online Non-Parametric Density Estimation,
Computational Finance Conference, Stanford University, August 1996 [by coauthor].
- Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests,
Western Finance Association Meetings, June 1996 [by coauthor].
- The Behavior of Emerging Market Capital Flows,
Conference on the Future of Emerging Market Capital Flows, New York University, May 27, 1996.
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
Stanford University, May 1996.
1995
- Towares a Truly Global Portfolio Strategy: New Directions in Dynamically Forecasting and Comparing the Risk and Returns of Worldwide Stocks,
ICBC Conference, Geneva, December 1995.
- Active Investments in Developed and Emerging Markets,
Society of Quantitative Analysts, New York, November 8, 1995.
- Stock Market Predictability and Active Asset Allocation,
Wharton Center for Quantitative Finance, Palm Beach, October 23, 1995.
- Global Investment and Risk,
Mutual Group Financial Services Research Center Conference, Wilfred Laurier University, Waterloo, Ontario, October 12, 1995.
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
Northwestern University, September 1995.
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
Yale University, September 1995.
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
New York University, September 1995.
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
European Finance Association Meetings, August 1995 [by coauthor].
- Performance Evaluation in the Presence of Dynamic Trading Strategies,
Western Finance Association Meetings, June 1995 [by coauthor].
- Trends in Emerging Markets,
University of Chicago Emerging Market Conference, May 19, 1995.
- The Business Cycle, Bull and Bear Markets, Inflation and World Equity Selection,
Q-Group, Orlando, May 1995.
- Forecasting Foreign Exchange Market Returns via Entropy Coding,
IEEE/IAFE Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering,
New York, April 1995 [by coauthor].
- Forecasting Foreign Exchange Market Returns via Entropy Coding,
HFDC-I, Zürich, March 1995 [by coauthor].
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
Georgetown University, February 1995.
- Emerging Equity Market Volatility,
American Finance Association, Washington, DC, January 1995.
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
American Finance Association, Washington, DC, January 1995.
1994
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
NBER Asset Pricing Conference, November 1994 [by coauthor].
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
CIRANO Conference on Stochastic Volatility, Montreal, October 1994.
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
NBER, Wharton, October 1994 [by coauthor].
- Do World Markets Still Serve as a Hedge?,
Financial Management Association, St. Louis, October 1994.
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, October 1994.
- Do World Markets Still Serve as a Hedge?,
Berkeley Program in Finance, September 1994.
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
European Finance Association, Brussels, August 1994 [by coauthor].
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
Board of Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, July 1994.
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
Western Finance Association, Santa Fe, June 1994 (by coauthor).
- Predictable Returns in Developed and Emerging Markets,
Association for Investment Management and Research, May 1994.
- Predictable Risk and Return in Emerging Markets,
Center for Research in Security Prices, May 1994.
- Time-Varying World Market Integration,
Ohio State University, May 1994.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Georgia Tech, April 1994.
- Modeling the Fundamental Determinants of National Equity Returns, Berkeley Program in Finance, Rancho Mirage, March 13, 1994.
- Conditional Asset Allocation in Emerging Markets,
INQUIRE Europe-U.K., Lausanne, March 1994.
- Modelling the Fundamental Determinants of National Equity Returns,
Berkeley Program in Finance, March 1994.
- Emerging Markets, Predictability and Active Investment Strategies,
Kidder Peabody Asset Management Symposium, Puerto Rico, February 1994.
1993
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Carnegie Mellon University, November 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Dartmouth University, November 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
University of Michigan, November 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
University of Chicago, November 1993.
- An Exploratory Investigation of the Fundamental Determinants of National Equity Markets,
NBER Conference, San Francisco, October 1993.
- The Impact of the Federal Reserve Bank=s Open Market Operations,
University of St. Gallen, Switzerland, October 1993.
- Portfolio Enhancement using Emerging Markets and Conditioning Information,
World Bank Conference on Emerging Markets, September 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Columbia University, September 1993
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Conditional Asset Allocation Strategies,
Batterymarch Financial Management, Boston, June 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Western Finance Association, Whisler, May 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
CEPR, Maastricht, May 1993.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Stockholm School of Economics, May 1993.
1992
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
University of California at Los Angeles, November 1992.
- What Determines Expected International Asset Returns?,
University of Rochester, October 1992.
- What Determines Expected International Asset Returns?,
Cornell University, October 1992.
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
Berkeley Program in Finance, Santa Barbara, September 1992.
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
European Finance Association Meetings, Lisbon, September 1992.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Conditional Asset Allocation Strategies,
ARCAS seminar, Amsterdam, July 1992.
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
French Finance Association Meetings, Paris, June 1992.
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
Western Finance Association Meetings, San Francisco, June 1992.
- Sources of Predictability in Portfolio Returns,
Association for Investment Management and Research, San Antonio, May 1992 (video presentation).
- The Economic Justification for Global Tactical Asset Allocation: The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
Foundation for Research in International Banking and Finance, New York, May 22, 1992.
- Predictable Risk and Returns in Emerging Markets,
Virginia Polytechnical Institute, March 1992.
1991
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
North Carolina State University, November 1991.
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
Stanford University, October 1991.
- The Risk and Predictability of International Equity Returns,
University of California at Berkeley, October 1991.
- Information Trading and Fixed Income Volatility,
European Finance Association, Rotterdam, August 1991.
- The Specification of the Earnings-Returns Relation,
American Accounting Association, Nashville, August 1991.
- Seasonality and Consumption-Based Asset Pricing,
Western Finance Association, Jackson Lake, June 1991.
- The Specification of Conditional Expectations,
University of Chicago, May 1991.
1990
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
American Finance Association, Washington, December 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Washington University - St. Louis, November 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
CRSP Fall Seminar, University of Chicago, November 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Princeton University, October 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
The Ohio State University, September 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Northwestern University, September 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Centre for Research in Finance, IMI Group, Rome, September 1990.
- Market Volatility Prediction and the Efficiency of the S&P 100 Index Option Market,
Northern Finance Association, Ottawa, September 1990.
- Volatility in the Foreign Currency Futures Market,
European Finance Association, Athens, August 1990.
- Inter adn Intraday Volatility in the Foreign Currency Futures Market,
Western Finance Association, Santa Barbara, June 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Helsinki School of Economics, June 1990.
- The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums,
Helsinki School of Economics, June 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
MIT, May 1990.
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, April 1990.
1989
- The World Price of Covariance Risk,
Queen's University, November 1989.
- The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums,
European Finance Association, Stockholm, September 1989.
- The Specification of Conditional Expectations,
European Finance Association, Stockholm, September 1989.
- The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums,
Vanderbilt University, August 1989.
- The Specification of Conditional Expectations,
Western Finance Association, Seattle, June 1989.
- The Variation of Economic Risk Premiums,
Center for Research in Security Prices, Chicago, May 4, 1989.
- Keeping Score,
CBOT Futures and Options Conference, Scottsdale, February 1989.
1988
- Time-Varying Conditional Covariances in Tests of Asset Pricing Models,
European Finance Association, Istanbul,September 1988.
- Time-Varying Conditional Covariances in Tests of Asset Pricing Models,
Western Finance Association, Napa, June 1988.
- Time-Varying Conditional Covariances in Tests of Asset Pricing Models,
Johnson Symposium, University of Wisconsin, Madison, June 1988.
1987
- Seasonality Heteroskedasticity in Asset Pricing Tests,
American Finance Association, Chicago, December 1987.
- Seasonality Heteroskedasticity in Asset Pricing Tests,
Western Finance Association, San Diego, June 1987.
External Work
Professor Harvey has wide-ranging consulting experience. He currently holds two directorships
and
is a consultant to some of the world's leading asset management firms. Harvey specializes in the
construction of global equity and fixed income allocation models. Additional details are available
on request.
Doctoral Supervision
- Hai Huang(currently at Duke-Fuqua)
- Krishnamoorthy Narasimhan (currently at Penn-Wharton)
- Andrew Roper (currently at Wisconsin)
- Emma Rasiel (currently at Duke-Economics)
- Ashish Gehani (currently at Duke-Computer Science)
- Arman Glodjo (in progress at Duke-Fuqua)
- Chris Lundblad (currently at Indiana)
- Brian Balyeat (currently at Texas A&M)
- Christopher Kirby (currently at Rice University)
- Ahktar Siddique (Office of Currency Management)
- Kjell Nordal [from Norges Handelshøyskole] (currently at Boston University)
- Kim Numelin [from Svenska Handelshögskolan] (currently at Svenska Handelshögskolan)
- Nicholas Bollen (currently at Vanderbilt University)
- Subitha Subramaniam (currently at Union Bank of Switzerland)
- Peter Muio (currently at Bankers Trust).
Public Relations
- TV: 5 interviews on CNBC, 2 on CNN.
- Press: research featured in 8 New York Times, 4 Wall
Street Journal, 3 Business Week, and 1 Forbes.
Numerous wire stories on AP, Reuters, and
Bloomberg. Example, "The Graham-Harvey Test,"
Forbes, June 19, 1995.
Updated January 2006.