Why Kerry Will Win

John Kerry will win tomorrow's presidential election. Until last week, I was entirely convinced otherwise, but recent events have changed my mind. The Red Sox, of John Kerry's home state Massachusetts, won the World Series for the first time since 1918. And more importantly, the Packers beat the Redskins in Washington yesterday. For those of you who do not follow sports very closely, the result of the last Redskins home game before the election has successfully predicted the result of the election ever since FDR won for the second time (1936). When the Redskins win, the incumbent party wins, and when they lose the challengers take over the White House.
But more seriously, I feel John Kerry will win the election mostly because I really want him to. I am not a big believer in superstition, so no, the Red Sox and Redskins will not determine the result of the election. But I do feel like the country has had such a strong reaction to Bush's actions in office that it will be extremely hard for him to win the election. According to the site I gave a link to a few weeks ago, www.electoral-vote.com, Kerry should get 298 electoral votes to Bush's 231 tomorrow. The polls listed on the site are split almost exactly evenly, with Fox News, the Pew poll, and the Greenberg poll giving a slight edge to Kerry, and Newsweek, CNN, CBS, and ABC giving a slight edge to Bush. In 2000, almost every poll gave the advantage to Bush, but Gore went on to win the popular vote anyway. So perhaps the polls aren't a better indicator than the Redskins and Red Sox after all. So while there is no way to really know which candidate will come out on top until tomorrow (or perhaps a couple months from now if it goes to the courts again), my instinct tells me that Kerry will win, and so that's my final prediction.