Sept. 13, 2001
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White House 2000 General Election: State Polls
HAWAII An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/5-11/00, surveyed 600 likely Hawaii voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 29% Gore 57 Nader 2 Others 1 Undec. 11HONOLULU ADVERTISER A Honolulu Advertiser/Ch. 2 poll, conducted 8/11-16 by Ward Research of Honolulu, surveyed 336 likely voters; margin of error +/- 5.3% (8/21).
General Election Matchup Bush-Cheney 40% Gore-Lieberman 35 Nader 4 Buchanan 1 Browne - None of the Above 1 DK/Refused 20MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 9/5-9/00, surveyed 429 likely Hawaii voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 9/17).
General Election Matchup
Now
Gore 52%
Bush 34
Nader 6
Buchanan 1
Undec. 7
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 5/5-9/00; surveyed 426 likely Hawaii general election voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 5/19).
General Election Match-Up Gore 45% Bush 37 Buchanan 5 Undec. 13
IDAHO An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/6-9/00, surveyed 600 likely Idaho voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 53% Gore 31 Nader 0 Others 2 Undec. 14MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/25-26/00 for the Spokane Spokesman Review/Idaho Falls Post Register/Lewiston Morning Tribune, surveyed 633 likely Idaho voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/28).
General Election Matchup Bush 56% Gore 30 Nader 4 Buchanan 2 Other 1 Undec. 7MOORE INFORMATION (R) A Moore Information (R) poll, conducted 1/23-25/00, surveyed 450 regis. Idaho voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 4/19).
General Election Matchup Bush 52% Gore 26 Neither 13 Don't Know 10RESEARCH 2000 A Research 2000 poll, conducted 7/5-8/00, surveyed 601 regular Idaho voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/21).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 57% 61% 53%
Gore 21 17 25
Buchanan 4 6 2
Nader 2 2 2
Undec. 16 14 18
ILLINOIS An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/11-14/00, surveyed 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 38% Gore 48 Nader 0 Others 0 Undec. 12
An American Research Group poll, conducted 7/7-12/00, surveyed 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchup Bush 46% Gore 39 Nader 6 Undec. 9
Conducted 5/1-9/00 by American Research Group; surveyed 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/10).
General Election Match-Up
Vote
Bush 41%
Gore 41
Undec. 18
Strength Of Support
Bush Gore
Strongly support 19% 32%
Would never support 37 42
AMERICAN VIEWPOINT (R)An American Viewpoint (R) poll; conducted 6/5-8/00 for the NRCC; surveyed 400 likely Illinois 10th District voters; margin of error of +/- 5%. Tested: retiring Rep. John Porter (R) ex-CoS Mark Kirk (R) and state Rep. Lauren Beth Gash (D).
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 45% Gore 41CHICAGO TRIBUNE/WGN A Chicago Tribune/WGN-TV poll, conducted 10/20-23/00, surveyed 899 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsample: 614 "most likely" voters who say they always vote and "care very much about the outcome" of this race and say they voted in both '98 and '96; +/- 4% (release, 10/25).
General Election Matchup
Most Cook Collar Down
LVs LVs County Counties State Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Gore 45% 45% 58% 32% 39% 81% 35% 7% 41% 49%
Bush 35 39 28 47 37 7 30 81 39 32
Nader 4 n/a 4 4 4 3 6 3 6 2
Buchanan 1 n/a 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1
DK/Other 14 n/a 10 18 17 8 27 8 12 16
EPIC-MRAAn EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 9/6-13/00 for the Detroit Free Press and Wayne State Univ., surveyed 400 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 9/17).
General Election Matchup
W/Lnrs
Gore 48%
Bush 33
Nader 2
Buchanan 2
DK/Other 15
FOX NEWS/OPINION DYNAMICSA Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll, conducted 10/25-26/00, surveyed approx. 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/27).
General Election Matchup Bush 44% Gore 43 DK/Other 13KRC COMMUNICATIONS A Chicago Sun-Times/Fox News Chicago poll, conducted 10/16-17/00 by KRC Communications and Research, surveyed 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (releae, 10/22).
General Election Matchup
All 18-39 49-64 65+ -$40K $40K-80K $80K+
Gore 45% 48% 44% 48% 49% 47% 44%
Bush 43 39 47 37 36 46 49
Nader 4 ------------------------n/a----------
Browne 2 ------------------------n/a----------
Buchanan 2 ------------------------n/a----------
DK/Other 3 ------------------------n/a----------
MARKET SHARES CORPORATIONA Chicago Tribune/WGN poll, conducted 10/6-9/00 by Market Shares Corp., surveyed 900 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 10/15).
General Election Matchup Cook Collar Down-
All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Co. Cos. State
Gore 45% 85% 36% 6% 44% 46% 60% 40% 32%
Bush 37 5 31 83 38 36 24 47 45
Nader 4 1 9 1 5 3 5 2 3
Buchanan 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
DK/Other 13 8 23 9 12 15 10 11 17
A Chicago Tribune poll, conducted 9/11-17/00 by Market Shares Corp., surveyed 703 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 9/24).
General Election Matchup
All
Gore 47%
Bush 35
Nader 2
Buchanan 1
DK/Other 15
A Chicago Tribune-WGN poll; conducted 7/19-23/00 by Market Shares Corp,; surveyed 900 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 3% (Chicago Tribune, 7/30).
General Election Matchup Gore 42% Bush 40MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/28-30/00 for Copley Newspapers; surveyed 625 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1).
General Election Matchup Gore 46% Bush 43 Nader 3 Buchanan 1 Undec. 7
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/12-14/00 for Copley newspapers, surveyed 622 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/17).
General Election Matchup
Now Men Wom 9/00 8/00
Gore 46% 40% 52% 47% 46%
Bush 41 48 34 42 41
Nader 3 --n/a-- 1 n/a
Buchanan 1 --n/a-- 0 2
Undec. 9 --n/a-- 10 11
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 9/18-21/00 for Copley newspapers, surveyed 626 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/27).
General Election Matchup
Now 8/00 4/00
Gore 47% 46% 42%
Bush 42 41 44
Nader 1 n/a n/a
Buchanan - 2 3
Undec. 10 11 11
A Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, Inc. poll; conducted 8/24-28/00 for Copley News Service; surveyed 629 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/30).
WH 2000 Match-Up
Now 4/00 2/00
Gore 46% 42% 39%
Bush 41 44 41
Buchanan 2 3 4
Undec. 11 11 16
A Mason-Dixon, conducted 4/12-14/00, surveyed 622 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/19).
General Election Matchup
Now 2/00
Bush 44% 41%
Gore 42 39
Buchanan 3 4
Undec. 11 16
General Election Match-Up
Support Support
All Gore Bush Undec.
Gore/Durbin Dem Ticket 45% 93% 7% 29%
Bush-Led GOP Ticket 40 4 83 8
Buchanan-Led Reform
Ticket 3 - - -
Undecided 12 3 10 63
A Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, Inc. poll; conducted 2/3-5/00; surveyed 627 likely Illinois general election voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 301 likely GOP primary voters and 376 likely Dem primary voters (release, 2/10).
General Election Match-Ups Bush 41% McCain 43% Gore 39 Gore 34 Buchanan 4 Buchanan 3 Undecided 16 Undecided 20RESEARCH 2000 A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/31-11/1/00 for WEEK-TV, surveyed 602 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/3).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 48% 44% 52%
Bush 42 46 38
Nader 4 6 2
Buchanan 1 2 0
Undec. 5 2 8
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/16-18/00 for WEEK-TV, surveyed 601 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/20).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 47% 43% 51%
Bush 40 44 36
Nader 3 4 2
Buchanan 1 2 0
Undec. 9 7 11
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 9/25-27/00 for WEEK-TV, surveyed 603 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/29).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 48% 44% 52%
Bush 40 44 36
Nader 2 2 2
Buchanan 1 1 0
Undec. 9 8 10
The Research 2000 Illinois Poll; conducted 3/10-12/00 for WEEK-Television; surveyed 635 regis. Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 3/15).
General Election Match-Up
All Men Wom
Gore 46% 43% 49%
Bush 40 45 35
Undecided 14 12 16
WIRTHLIN WORLDWIDE (R)A Wirthlin Worldwide (R) poll; conducted 5/31-6/1/00 for the NRCC; surveyed 404 likely voters in Illinois' 15th District; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/19).
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 52% Gore 33WILSON RESEARCH STRATEGIES (R) A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/5-6/00 for the NRCC; surveyed 400 likely general election voters in Illionis' 17th District; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 6/19).
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 45% Gore 34ZOGBY A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 11/3-5/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, surveyed 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Note: all undecideds were allocated (release, 11/5). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
11/3-5
Gore 53%
Bush 40
Nader 6
Buchanan 0
Not Sure 0
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/31-11/2/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, surveyed 600 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/31-11/2
Gore 48%
Bush 41
Nader 4
Buchanan 2
Not Sure 6
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, surveyed 597 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/30-11/1 10/29-31 10/28-30 10/25-29 10/25-26
Gore 46% 47% 47% 48% 46%
Bush 42 41 41 41 39
Nader 4 4 4 3 6
Buchanan 1 1 1 1 0
Not Sure 7 7 7 6 9
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/29-31/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, surveyed 592 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/29-31 10/28-30 10/25-29 10/25-26
Gore 47% 47% 48% 46%
Bush 41 41 41 39
Nader 4 4 3 6
Buchanan 1 1 1 0
Not Sure 7 7 6 9
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/28-30/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, surveyed 613 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/28-30 10/25-29 10/25-26
Gore 47% 48% 46%
Bush 41 41 39
Nader 4 3 6
Buchanan 1 1 0
Not Sure 7 6 9
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/25-29/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, surveyed 701 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (10/30). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/25-29 10/25-26
Gore 48% 46%
Bush 41 39
Nader 3 6
Buchanan 1 0
Not Sure 6 9
A Zogby Int'l poll, conducted 9/5-7/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and KMOV, surveyed 601 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/10).
General Election Matchup
All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Gore 50% 86% 11% 44% 46% 55%
Bush 35 5 77 30 40 30
Nader 3 3 2 5 3 3
Buchanan 2 1 2 4 3 2
DK/Others 10 5 8 17 8 10
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV poll, conducted 2/15-17 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 1,200 likely Illinois voters; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsamples: 489 Dems; +/- 5%; and 388 GOPers; +/- 5.5% (2/20).
General Election Matchups
All Dem GOP Ind Other Men Women
Gore 47% 83% 9% 38% 47% 41% 53%
Bush 43 12 88 37 33 49 37
NS 10 5 4 25 20 10 10
All Dem GOP Ind Other Men Women
McCain 47% 18% 83% 49% 40% 57% 39%
Gore 40 72 8 31 40 35 46
NS 13 10 9 20 20 9 16
All Dem GOP Ind Other Men Women
Bradley 46% 72% 13% 47% 46% 44% 49%
Bush 39 13 80 31 32 44 39
NS 14 15 7 23 23 12 14
All Dem GOP Ind Other Men Women
McCain 45% 20% 77% 44% 47% 52% 38%
Bradley 36 58 11 32 31 32 39
NS 19 22 12 24 22 16 22
INDIANA An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/14-18/00, surveyed 600 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 48% Gore 39 Nader 0 Others 1 Undec. 12JOHN MCLAUGHLIN AND ASSOCIATES (R) A John McLaughlin and Assoc. (R) poll, conducted 9/24-25/00 for GOP gov. nominee/Rep. David McIntosh (R-02), surveyed 600 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/2).
General Election Matchup Bush 49% Gore 32 Nader 4 Buchanan 3 Undec. 12
A John McLaughlin and Assoc. (R) poll, conducted 5/4-8/00 for the RGA, surveyed 800 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 5/19).
General Election Matchup
Now 11/99
Bush 53% 50%
Gore 32 28
Buchanan 6 4
Undec. 10 17
INDIANA UNIVERSITYA WISH-TV poll, conducted 10/4-7/00 by IN Univ. Public Opinion Laboratory, surveyed 726 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 3.7% (10/10).
General Election Matchup Bush 45% Gore 33 Others 2 Undec. 20
A WISH-TV poll, conducted 9/6-8/00 by IN Univ., surveyed 674 regis. Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (9/14).
General Election Matchup Bush 42% Gore 30 DK/Other 28INDIANAPOLIS STAR/WTHR An Indianapolis Star/WTHR poll, conducted 3/26-29/00, surveyed 825 Indiana adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (4/2).
General Election Matchup Bush 54% Gore 36 Buchanan 4 Undec. 5MARKET SHARES CORPORATION A Market Shares Corp. poll, conducted 10/26-28/00 for the Indianapolis Star, surveyed 600 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Bush 53% 57% 49% 16% 44% 91%
Gore 30 28 33 70 28 4
Buchanan 1 1 2 1 2 1
DK/Other 15 13 16 13 25 5
A Market Shares Corp. poll, conducted 8/24-27/00 for the Indianapolis Star; surveyed 600 regis. Indiana voters; margin of error +/-4% (release 9/3).
WH 2000 Match-Up
All Indpls Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Bush 47% 43% 9% 39% 88% 52% 43%
Gore 38 40 81 35 5 36 40
Buchanan 1 1 1 1 1 2 -
Other 1 1 1 1 - - 1
Undec. 13 16 9 25 5 10 16
RESEARCH 2000A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/12-14/00 for the South Bend Tribune and WSBT-TV, surveyed 602 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/19).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 54% 58% 50%
Gore 38 34 42
Buchanan 1 1 1
Others 1 1 1
Undec. 6 6 6
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 9/16-18/00 for the South Bend Tribune, surveyed 604 likely Indiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 49% 54% 44%
Gore 42 40 44
Buchanan 1 1 1
Others 1 1 1
Undec. 7 4 10
An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/10-13/00, surveyed 600 likely Iowa voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 38% Gore 45 Nader 3 Others 1 Undec. 13DES MOINES REGISTER A Des Moines Register poll, conducted 10/30-11/3/00, surveyed 805 likely Iowa voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Cath Prot
Gore 44% 40% 48% 51% 42%
Bush 42 49 35 34 46
Nader 3 -------n/a-------
Buchanan 1 -------n/a-------
Undec. 10 -------n/a-------
A Des Moines Register poll, conducted 8/23-30/00, surveyed 532 likely Iowa voters; margin of error +/-4% (release, 9/1).
General Election Matchup
All Ind
Gore 45% 48%
Bush 37 21
Others 4 7
Undec. 14 24
PSIA PSI poll, conducted 10/30/00 for Capital Communications and their IA-area TV stations, surveyed 400 likely Iowa voters; margin of error 5% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup
All W/Lnrs Men Wom GOP Dem Oth 65+ Cath Prot
Bush 44% 46% 46% 41% 70% 13% 44% 35% 35% 50%
Gore 41 43 39 43 14 73 39 45 50 40
Nader 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 1
Buchanan 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0
DK/Other 12 8 12 14 14 13 13 18 13 9
A PSI poll, conducted 9/25/00 for various Capital Communications IA TV stations, surveyed 400 likely Iowa voters; margin of error +/- 4.79% (release, 9/27).
General Election Matchup
W/Lnrs Men Wom
Gore 44% 33% 54%
Bush 42 45 31
Nader 2 --n/a--
Buchanan 1 --n/a--
Hagelin - --n/a--
Undec. 11 --n/a--
RESEARCH 2000A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/31-11/2/00 for KCCI-TV and KIMT-TV, surveyed 603 likely Iowa voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/3).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 44% 40% 48%
Bush 43 47 39
Nader 4 6 2
Buchanan 1 2 0
Undec. 8 5 11
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 9/25-27/00 for KCCI-TV, surveyed 601 likely Iowa voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/29).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 47% 44% 50%
Bush 39 43 35
Nader 3 4 2
Buchanan 1 1 2
Undec. 10 7 13
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 1/8-11/00 for KCCI-TV (Des Moines) and KIMT-TV (Mason City), surveyed 309 likely Iowa GOP caucus goers and 301 likely Iowa Dem caucus goers; margins of error for both samples +/- 6% (release, 1/13).
General Election Matchups
All Men Wom
Bush 51% 55% 47%
Gore 43 39 47
Undec. 6 6 6
All Men Wom
Bush 50% 53% 47%
Bradley 41 39 43
Undec. 9 8 10
KANSAS An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/12-15/00, surveyed 600 likely Kansas voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 55% Gore 32 Nader 2 Others 1 Undec. 10
KENTUCKY An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/6-9/00, surveyed 600 likely Kentucky voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 39% Gore 45 Nader 2 Others 1 Undec. 13LOUISVILLE COURIER-JOURNAL The Bluegrass poll, conducted 10/26-29/00 by the Louisville Courier-Journal, surveyed 681 likely Kentucky voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup
Now 9/00
Bush 55% 51%
Gore 40 41
Nader 1 2
Buchanan 0 0
Undec. 4 5
The Bluegrass State Poll, conducted 9/18-21 by the Louisville Courier-Journal, surveyed 608 likely Kentucky voters; margin of error +/- 4% (9/24).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 51% 59% 43%
Gore 41 35 47
DK/Other 8 6 10
A Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, Inc. poll; conducted 2/3-5/00; surveyed 627 likely Kentucky general election voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 301 likely GOP primary voters and 376 likely Dem primary voters (release, 2/10).
General Election Match-Ups Bush 54% Bush 59% Gore 40 Bradley 32 McCain 45% McCain 45% Gore 44 Bradley 36MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 11/2-3/00, surveyed 625 likely Kentucky voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/4).
General Election Matchup Bush 51% Gore 41 Others 2 Undec. 6PRESTON OSBORNE A Preston-Osborne poll (they are a marketing and research firm in Lexington), conducted 6/5-16/00, surveyed 743 likely Kentucky voters; margin of error +/- 3.6% (Cross, Louisville Courier-Journal, 6/29).
General Election Matchup
All W/Lnrs
Bush 48% 51%
Gore 34 36
Refused 6
Undec. 7
LOUISIANA An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/15-20/00, surveyed 600 likely Louisiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 37% Gore 44 Nader 1 Others 3 Undec. 15MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/20-22/00 for the LA Gannett papers, surveyed 624 likely Louisiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/29).
General Election Matchup Bush 52% Gore 39 Nader 1 Buchanan 1 Undec. 6SOUTHERN MEDIA AND OPINION RESEARCH A Southern Media & Opinion Research poll, conducted 9/15-21/00 for various TV media, surveyed 600 likely Louisiana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (Baton Rouge Advocate, 9/28).
General Election Matchup Bush 44% Gore 38 Nader 1 Buchanan 1 Undec. 16
A Southern Media and Opinion Research poll; conducted 4/6-15/00; surveyed 700 regis. Louisiana voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (Wardlaw, New Orleans Times-Picayune, 5/6).
General Election Match-Up
All Men Wom Wht Blk
Bush 45% 51% 41% 61% 9%
Gore 34 33 35 21 65
Buchanan 4
Undec. 17
UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANAA University of LA poll, conducted 10/15-22/00, surveyed 658 registered Louisiana voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. A subsample of 461 likely voters had a margin of error of +/- 4.6%
General Election MatchUp
LVs RVs
Bush 48% 45%
Gore 35 34
MAINE An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/5-7/00, surveyed 600 likely Maine voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 32% Gore 47 Nader 9 Others 1 Undec. 11CRITICAL INSIGHTS A Critical Insights Inc. of Portland, ME, poll, conducted 10/15-17/00, surveyed 404 regis. Maine voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (Portland Press-Herald/Bangor Daily News, 10/18).
General Election Matchup Bush 42% Gore 37 DK/Other 11MARKET DECISIONS A Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/WMTW poll, conducted 10/22-25/00 by Market Decisions of S. Portland, surveyed 824 likely Maine voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/30).
General Election Matchup Gore 42% Bush 41 Nader 5 Buchanan 1 Others 2 Undec. 11RESEARCH 2000 The Research 2000 Maine Poll; conducted 2/27-29/00 for Bangor Daily News; surveyed 602 regis. Maine voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 3/3).
General Election Match-Ups
All Men Wom
Gore 48% 46% 50%
Bush 36 40 32
Undec. 16 14 18
All Men Wom
McCain 49% 54% 44%
Gore 40 36 44
Undec. 11 10 12
All Men Wom
Bradley 44% 41% 47%
Bush 38 43 33
Undec. 18 16 20
All Men Wom
McCain 49% 54% 44%
Bradley 38 36 40
Undec. 13 10 16
RKM RESEARCHA WCSH/WLBZ TV poll, conducted by RKM Research on 10/28-10/30/00, surveyed 602 likely Maine voters; margin of error +/- 4%.
General Election Matchup Bush 42% Gore 42 Nader 4 Buchanan 1 Don't Know 9
A Bangor Daily News/WCHS-TV/WLBZ-TV poll, conducted 9/10-11/00 by RKM Research and Communications, surveyed 418 likely Maine voters; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 9/15).
General Election Matchup Gore 46% Bush 35 Nader 4 Buchanan - Undec. 16STRATEGIC MARKETING A Strategic Marketing Services poll, conducted 10/20-23/00, surveyed 400 regis. Maine voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Bangor Daily News, 10/26).
General Election Matchup Gore 42% Bush 34 Nader 5 Undec. 19
A Strategic Marketing Services' poll, conducted 9/14-19/00, surveyed 400 Maine adults; margin of error +/- 5% (AP, 9/27).
General Election Matchup Gore 41% Bush 31 Nader 4 Others 2 Undec. 22
MARYLAND An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/5-10/00, surveyed 600 likely Maryland voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 34% Gore 53 Nader 1 Others 0 Undec. 12GONZALES/ARSCOTT A Gonzales/Arscott Research and Communications poll, conducted 8/23-28/00, surveyed 649 regular Maryland voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/30).
General Election Matchup Gore 51% Bush 36 Nader 4 Buchanan 2 Undec. 7
The Maryland Poll, conducted 1/7-11/00 by Gonzales/Arscott Inc., surveyed 826 Maryland reg. voters; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples: 368 likely Dem primary voters; +/- 5% and 321 likely GOP primary voters; +/- 6% (1/18).
General Election Matchups
All Men Women Dem GOP Ind
Gore 44% 36% 52% 64% 14% 31%
Bush 42 53 31 22 74 50
Don't Know 14 11 17 14 12 19
All Men Women Dem GOP Ind
Gore 41% 34% 48% 60% 11% 30%
McCain 40 51 29 19 75 45
Don't Know 19 15 23 21 14 25
All Men Women Dem GOP Ind
Bradley 47% 41% 53% 61% 26% 36%
Bush 39 49 29 22 67 40
Don't Know 14 10 18 17 7 24
All Men Women Dem GOP Ind
Bradley 45% 37% 53% 63% 15% 37%
McCain 35 45 25 14 74 32
Don't Know 20 18 22 23 11 31
MASON-DIXONA Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/25-26/00, surveyed 625 likely Maryland voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31).
General Election Matchup Gore 48% Bush 40 Nader 5 Buchanan 1 Browne 1 Undec. 6
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/6-8/00 for WBOC-TV, surveyed 621 likely Maryland voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/12).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
Gore 49% 46% 51% 37% 89% 69% 11% 48%
Bush 38 41 36 48 4 16 81 33
Others 6 6 6 7 0 7 3 10
Undec. 7 7 7 7 7 8 5 10
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/19-21/00, surveyed 627 likely Maryland voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/25).
General Election Matchup
Now 2/00
Gore 43% 46%
Bush 40 38
Nader 5 n/a
Buchanan 2 2
Undec. 10 14
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 2/26-28/00, surveyed 627 likely Maryland voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 421 likely Dems; +/- 5%; and 357 likely GOPers; +/- 6% (release, 3/2).
General Election Matchups Gore 46% McCain 44% Bush 38 Gore 38 Buchanan 2 Buchanan 1 Undec. 14 Undec. 17
MASSACHUSETTS An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/8-13/00, surveyed 600 likely Massachusetts voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 26% Gore 57 Nader 6 Others 0 Undec. 10BOSTON HERALD A Boston Herald poll, conducted 8/29-31, surveyed 410 likely Massachusetts voters; margin of error +/-4.8% (release, 9/1).
General Election Matchup
All
Gore 60%
Bush 27
Nader 3
Undec. 10
RKM RESEARCH AND COMMUNICATIONSA Boston Herald poll; conducted 2/24-26/00 by RKM Research and Communications; surveyed 873 regis. Massachusetts voters; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsamples: 402 likely GOP primary voters and 404 likely Dem primary voters; margin of error for both subsamples +/- 4.6% (Miga, Boston Herald, 2/27).
General Election Match-Up McCain 54% McCain 54% Gore 34 Bradley 33
MICHIGAN An American Research Group poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup Gore 48% Bush 44 Nader 3 Buchanan 1 Undec. 4
An American Research Group poll, conducted 10/20-24/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/25).
General Election Matchup
All GOP Dem Oth Men Wom
Gore 46% 1% 90% 45% 42% 50%
Bush 43 92 4 27 51 35
Nader 4 0 2 14 1 7
Others 2 2 0 5 3 1
Undec. 5 5 4 9 3 8
An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/15-20/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 40% Gore 48 Nader 1 Others 1 Undec. 9
Conducted 5/1-9/00 by American Research Group; surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/11).
General Election Match-Up
Vote
Bush 45%
Gore 42
Undec. 13
Strength Of Support
Bush Gore
Strongly support 41% 40%
Would never support 39 42
CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMESA CBS News/New York Times poll, conducted 9/22-25/00, surveyed 1,394 Michigan adults; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsamples: 1,145 regis. voters and 1,005 likely voters; margins of error for both samples +/- 3% (release, 9/27).
4-Way LVs W/Lnrs GOP Dem Ind Gore 45% 48% 8% 87% 46% Bush 41 42 87 4 37 Nader 5 5 2 4 8 DK/Other 9 5 2 5 9CELINDA LAKE (D)/ED GOEAS (R) A U.S. News poll, conducted 10/22-26/oo by Celinda Lake (D) and Ed Goeas (R), surveyed 400 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 5% (11/6 issue).
General Election Matchup Gore 43% Bush 42 Nader 5 Buchanan 2 Undec. 7DETROIT NEWS A Detroit News tracking poll, conducted 10/30-11/2/00, surveyed 800 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup
10/30-11/2 10/30-11/1 10/29-31
Gore 46% 46% 45%
Bush 41 40 40
Nader 3 3 3
Others 1 1 1
Undec. 10 10 11
A Detroit News tracking poll poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup
10/30-11/1 10/29-31
Gore 46% 45%
Bush 40 40
Nader 3 3
Others 1 1
Undec. 10 11
A Detroit News poll, conducted 10/30-31/00, surveyed 400 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup Gore 45% Bush 40 Nader 3 Others 1 Undec. 11
A Detroit News poll, conducted 10/23-25/00 by Mitchell Research, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/27).
General Election Matchup Gore 42% Bush 42 Nader 3 DK/Other 13
A Detroit News poll, conducted 10/9-13/00 by Mitchell Research & Comm., surveyed 581 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/15).
General Election Matchup
All
Bush 43%
Gore 42
Nader 2
Undec. 12
A Detroit News poll, conducted 8/23-25/00 by Mitchell Research and Communications; surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (8/29).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Wht Blk GOP Dem Ind
Bush 40% 47% 33% 42% 3% 84% 6% 35%
Gore 37 33 40 34 63 4 80 28
Nader 3 n/a -- 1 5
Buchanan -- n/a 1 -- --
Don't Know 20 n/a 11 12 29
A Detroit News poll, conducted 1/7-14/00, surveyed 600 regis. Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: n/a at deadline (1/18).
General Election Matchups Bush 50% Gore 32 Bush 48% Bradley 32 McCain 48% Gore 29 McCain 45% Bradley 28EPIC/MRA A Detroit Free Press poll, conducted 11/1-2/00 by EPIC-MRA, surveyed 500 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/4).
General Election Matchup Bush 45% Gore 44 DK/Other 11
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 10/23-25/00 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/27).
General Election Matchup Trav
All Wht Blk Men Wom Det Flt G.R. Lans City
Gore 44% 41% 76% 45% 43% 52% 28% 38% 36% 42%
Bush 42 43 16 43 41 39 47 50 40 26
Nader 3 3 0 3 3 2 4 3 2 2
Browne 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0
Undec. 11 12 8 10 13 7 18 9 22 29
-------Union Status-------
Member Household NotMember Prot Cath
Gore 52% 51% 40% 43% 42%
Bush 35 32 45 42 46
Nader 1 3 3 2 2
Browne 1 0 0 0 0
Undec. 11 13 11 12 10
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 10/16-19/00 for the Detroit Free Press, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/22).
General Election Matchup
Now 10/11-12
Gore 43% 45%
Bush 43 42
Nader 4 2
Browne 1 2
DK/Other 9 9
A Detroit Free Press/WNEM-TV poll, conducted 10/11-12/00 by EPIC-MRA, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/14).
General Election Matchup
All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom
Gore 45% 88% 23% 8% 40% 48%
Bush 42 4 39 84 43 42
Nader 2 1 3 1 2 2
Browne 2 1 8 1 5 1
Undec. 9 5 26 4 10 8
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 9/26-28/00 for the Detroit Free Press, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (9/30).
General Election Matchup
Now 9/6-13 Men Wom
Gore 45% 45% 44% 47%
Bush 39 37 43 35
Nader 3 2 2 3
DK/Other 13 16 11 15
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 9/6-13/00 for the Detroit Free Press and Wayne State Univ., surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/17).
General Election Matchup
W/Lnrs
Gore 45%
Bush 37
Nader 2
Buchanan -
DK/Other 16
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 8/20-22/00, surveyed 604 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/24). General Election Matchup Gore 44% Bush 42 Nader 3 Buchanan 1 Undec. 10
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 8/4-7/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/8).
General Election Matchup
Now 7/00 Lib Mod Con
Bush 45% 46% 15% 33% 78%
Gore 37 34 65 41 12
Nader 5 8 11 5 1
Buchanan 1 3 2 0 2
Undec. 12 9 8 21 7
---------Union Affil--------
Member Household No Member
Bush 27% 35% 49%
Gore 49 50 33
Nader 7 4 5
Buchanan 2 -- --
Undec. 14 12 12
An EPIC-MRA poll, conducted 6/28-7/5/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/7).
General Election Matchup 3-Way Bush 45% Gore 40 Buchanan 4 Undec. 22 4-Way All Bush 46% Gore 34 Nader 8 Buchanan 3 Undec. 9
An EPIC/MRA poll; conducted 5/23-25/00 for Michigan Information and Research Services Inc.; surveyed 301 likely Michigan 8th CD voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/1).
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 52% Gore 38 Undec. 10
An EPIC/MRA poll, conducted 5/14-17/00, surveyed 601 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/19).
General Election Matchup
Now 4/00
Gore 46% 42%
Bush 45 42
Undec. 9 15
---------Media Market---------
Detroit Flint G.Rapids Lansing Dem GOP Ind
Gore 52% 55% 27% 42% 87% 7% 35%
Bush 41 33 63 53 9 90 37
Undec. 7 12 10 5 4 3 28
An EPIC/MRA poll, conducted 4/9-13/00, surveyed 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/17).
General Election Matchup --Dem-- --Ind-- --GOP--
Now Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Men Wom Men Wom
Bush 42% 9% 36% 84% 11% 6% 36% 43% 92% 82%
Gore 42 78 30 10 76 83 39 32 5 13
Undec./DK 15 13 34 6 12 10 25 25 3 5
FOX NEWS/OPINION DYNAMICSA Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll, conducted 10/25-26/00, surveyed approx. 600 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/27).
General Election Matchup Gore 42% Bush 41 DK/Other 17HILL RESEARCH (R) A Hill Research (R) poll, conducted 10/23/00 for Sen. Spencer Abraham (R), surveyed 550 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/26).
General Election Matchup Bush 42% Gore 41 DK/Other 17LOS ANGELES TIMES A Los Angeles Times poll, conducted 10/27-29/00, surveyed 640 regis. Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsample: 401 likely voters; +/- 5% (release, 10/31).
General Election Matchup
LVs Ind Mod Men Wom Union Households Non-Union
Gore 48% 44% 54% 40% 55% 61% 41%
Bush 44 45 37 48 42 33 51
Nader 3 -----------------n/a-----------------------
Buchanan 0 -----------------n/a-----------------------
DK/Other 5 -----------------n/a-----------------------
MARKET SHARESA Chicago Tribune poll, conducted 9/11-17/00 by Market Shares Corp., surveyed 500 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4.3% (9/24).
General Election Matchup
All Fav/Unfav
Gore 42% 49%/33%
Bush 40 46 /34
Nader 3
Buchanan -
DK/Other 15
MARKETING RESOURCE GROUP (R)A Marketing Resource Group (R) poll, conducted 10/10-12/00, surveyed 500 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 5% (AP, 10/14).
General Election Matchup Bush 42% Gore 41 Nader 4 DK/Other 13
A Marketing Resource Group (R) poll, conducted 7/18-22/00, surveyed 500 regis. Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (AP, 7/27). The LV subsample was n/a at press time.
General Election Matchup
RVs LVs
Bush 37% 41%
Gore 37 35
Mader 8 7
Buchanan 2 2
Undec. 12 15
MASON-DIXONA Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 2/14-16/00; surveyed 621 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 2/18).
General Election Match-Ups Bush 44% McCain 49% Gore 39 Gore 33 Buchanan 3 Buchanan 2 Undecided 14 Undecided 16RESEARCH 2000 A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/31-11/2/00 for the South Bend Tribune and WSBT, surveyed 602 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/4).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 46% 41% 51%
Bush 41 46 36
Nader 4 6 2
Other 2 2 2
Undec. 7 5 9
ZOGBYA Zogby tracking poll, conducted 11/3-5/00 for the Toledo Blade and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, surveyed 583 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Note: all undecideds were allocated (release, 11/5). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
11/3-5
Gore 50%
Bush 43
Nader 5
Buchanan 1
Not Sure 0
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/31-11/2/00 for the Toledo Blade and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, surveyed 599 likely voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/2). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/31-11/2
Gore 50%
Bush 40
Nader 3
Buchanan 1
Not Sure 6
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00 for the Toledo Blade and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, surveyed 607 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/30-11/1 10/29-31 10/28-30 10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 50% 46% 45% 46% 45%
Bush 41 44 44 45 45
Nader 3 4 4 3 4
Buchanan 1 1 1 1 1
Not Sure 5 5 5 5 4
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/29-31/00 for the Toledo Blade and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, surveyed 607 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/29-31 10/28-30 10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 46% 45% 46% 45%
Bush 44 44 45 45
Nader 4 4 3 4
Buchanan 1 1 1 1
Not Sure 5 5 5 4
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/28-30/00 for the Toledo Blade and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, surveyed 597 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/28-30 10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 45% 46% 45%
Bush 44 45 45
Nader 4 3 4
Buchanan 1 1 1
Not Sure 5 5 4
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/27-29/00 for the Toledo Blade and the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, surveyed 603 likely Michigan voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/30). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/27-29 10/27-28
Bush 45% 45%
Gore 46 45
Nader 3 4
Buchanan 1 1
Not Sure 5 4
MINNESOTA An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/8-13/00, surveyed 600 likely Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 38% Gore 46 Nader 5 Others 1 Undec. 11MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/26-27/00 for the St. Paul Pioneer Press; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1).
General Election Matchup Gore 44% Bush 41 Nader 8 Buchanan 1 Undec. 6
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 9/22-25/00 for MN Public Radio and St. Paul Pioneer Press, surveyed 627 regular Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/29).
General Election Matchup
Now
Gore 47%
Bush 40
Nader 4
Buchanan 1
Undec. 8
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 8/21-22/00 for the St. Paul Pioneer Press and MN Public Radio, surveyed 621 regular Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/24).
General Election Matchup
Now 7/00 2/00 Men Wom
Gore 48% 40% 43% 42% 54%
Bush 40 43 40 45 35
Nader 3 5 -- 3 3
Buchanan 1 3 4 1 1
Undec. 8 9 13 9 7
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/6-8/00 for the St. Paul Pioneer Press and MN Public Radio,surveyed 620 regular Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/12).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 43% 46% 40%
Gore 40 34 46
Nader 5 6 4
Buchanan 3 5 1
Undec. 9 9 9
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 2/25-28/00 for the St. Paul Pioneer Press, surveyed 641 regis. Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 245 regular GOP primary voters; +/- 7%; and 258 regular Dem primary voters; +/- 7%. Note: MN holds a caucus so in order to at least come close to what a caucus electorate might look like, Mason-Dixon asked the primary matchups of "regular" primary voters.
General Election Matchups McCain 44% Gore 43% Gore 40 Bush 40 Buchanan 3 Buchanan 4 Undec. 13 Undec. 13MINNEAPOLIS STAR TRIBUNE A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll, conducted 10/31-11/3/00, surveyed 1,015 likely Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup Gore 47% Bush 37 Nader 8 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 7
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll, conducted 10/14-18/00 by Market Solutions Group, surveyed 814 likely Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/20). These results were weighted to account for "likelihood to vote. Researchers modeled the likely electorate for the general election using four questions: past voting history, current registration status, interest in the election, and self-professed probability of voting.... This model suggests a turnout" of 59.6% for this election (Star Tribune, 10/20).
General Election Matchup
Now 9/23-27
Bush 44% 39%
Gore 41 45
Nader 8 6
Buchanan 1 4
DK/Other 6 6
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll, conducted 9/23-27/00; surveyed 833 Minnesota adults; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Note: Because MNans can register and vote on election day, all adults are considered potential regis. voters. When asked how likely they are to vote, those respondents were "assigned heavier weights" (Star Tribune, 9/29).
General Election Matchup Gore 45% Bush 39 Nader 6 Others 4 Undec. 6
A Minneapolis Star Tribune poll, conducted 6/12-18/00, surveyed 1,050 likely Minnesota voters; margin of error +/- 3% (6/22).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Ind
Gore 42% 36% 47% 19%
Bush 40 47 34 31
Buchanan 4 4 3 10
Other 3 4 3 9
No Opinion 11 8 13 31
MOORE INFORMATION (R)A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 5/21-23/00 for the NRCC; surveyed 350 likely Minnesota 6th CD voters; margin of error +/- 5.24% (release, 6/1). Dem: Rep. Bill Luther. GOPer: '98 nominee John Kline.
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 49% Gore 34ST. CLOUD UNIVERSITY A St. Cloud Univ. poll, conducted 10/14-24/00, surveyed 629 Minnestota adults; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsample: 514 likely voters; +/- 4.5% (AP, 10/27).
General Election Matchup
LVs All
Bush 41% 38%
Gore 38 39
Nader 10 10
DK/Other 11 13
MISSISSIPPI An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/12-16/00, surveyed 600 likely Mississippi voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 48% Gore 37 Nader 1 Others 3 Undec. 11ETHRIDGE AND ASSOCIATES A Memphis Commercial Appeal poll, conducted 9/6-11/00 by Ethridge and Assoc. of Cordova, surveyed 300 likely Mississippi voters; margin of error +/ 5.7% (release, 9/17).
General Election Matchup Bush 50% Gore 36 Nader 1 Buchanan - DK/Other 10MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 11/2-3/00, surveyed 625 likely Mississippi voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/4).
General Election Matchup Bush 52% Gore 41 Others 1 Undec. 6MEMPHIS COMMERCIAL APPEAL A Memphis Commercial Appeal poll, conducted 10/29-11/1/00, surveyed approx. 350 likely Mississippi voters; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup Bush 55% Gore 33 DK/Other 12
MISSOURI An American Research Group, conducted 11/2-3/00, surveyed 600 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 46% 6% 95% 26% 41% 51%
Bush 45 88 2 43 51 39
Nader 4 1 1 20 2 7
Others 1 1 0 2 2 0
Undec. 4 4 2 9 4 4
An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/14-20/00, surveyed 600 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 40% Gore 43 Nader 3 Others 1 Undec. 13AYRES, MCHENRY AND ASSOCIATES (R) An Ayres, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll, conducted 9/12-13/00 for the Int'l Council of Shopping Centers, surveyed 500 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 9/15).
General Election Matchup
All GOP Ind Dem
Bush 40% 88% 28% 7%
Gore 40 7 40 85
Browne 2 1 4 1
Buchanan 2 1 4 0
Phillips - - - -
Undec. 16 3 23 7
FABRIZIO MCLAUGHLIN (R)A Fabrizio McLaughlin (R) poll; conducted 7/6-9/00 for state Sen. Sam Graves (R); surveyed 300 likely 6th District Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 5.7%. GOP primary sample: 189 likely 6th District Missouri GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 6% (release, 7/14). Tested: Graves, Kansas City Council Member Teresa Loar (R), and retiring Rep. Pat Danner (D) son Steve Danner (D).
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 49% Gore 27MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/23-24/00 for the Kansas City Star/KYTV/KOMU/KTVI, surveyed 625 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/29).
General Election Matchup
All Wom
Bush 45% 41%
Gore 44 48
Nader 4
Buchanan 1
Undec. 6
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 8/31-9/1/00 for the Kansas City Star, surveyed 621 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (9/6).
General Election Matchup
Now 7/00 2/00
Gore 45% 37% 42%
Bush 41 48 44
Nader 2 2 n/a
Buchanan 1 2 3
Undec. 11 11 11
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 7/6-10/00 for the Kansas City Star, surveyed 624 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/12).
General Election Matchup
Now 2/00
Bush 48% 44%
Gore 37 42
Buchanan 2 3
Nader 2 n/a
Undec. 11 11
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 2/25-28/00, surveyed 628 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 324 likely GOP primary voters; +/- 6%; and 409 likely Dem primary voters; +/- 5% (release, 3/1).
General Election Matchups Bush 44% McCain 48% Gore 42 Gore 38 Buchanan 3 Buchanan 2 Undec. 11 Undec. 12RESEARCH 2000 A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/31-11/1/00 for KOMU-TV, surveyed 600 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/3).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wo
Gore 45% 50% 40%
Bush 45 40 50
Nader 4 6 2
Others 2 2 2
Undec. 5 2 6
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/15-16/00 for KOMU-TV, surveyed 605 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/17). Note: the poll was completed before reports on the fate of Gov. Mel Carnahan (D) first surfaced.
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 42% 46% 38%
Gore 41 37 45
Nader 3 4 2
Others 2 2 2
Undec. 12 11 13
A KMOU-TV, conducted 7/6-9/00 by Research 2000 of Rockville, MD, surveyed 610 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/11).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 47% 53% 41%
Gore 43 36 50
Other 2 4 --
Not Sure 8 7 9
ZOGBYA St. Louis Post-Dispatch tracking poll, conducted 11/3-5/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 591 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Note: all undecideds were allocated (release, 11/5). The tracking poll surveys 200 likely voters as part of three 24-hour interview cycles converted into rolling averages with the earliest 24-hour sample eliminated, the latest 24-hour sample added, and a new daily sample of at least 600 created (Zogby release).
General Election Matchup
11/3-5
Bush 49%
Gore 45
Nader 4
Buchanan 1
DK/Other 0
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch tracking poll, conducted 10/31-11/2/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 603 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/2). The tracking poll surveys 200 likely voters as part of three 24-hour interview cycles converted into rolling averages with the earliest 24-hour sample eliminated, the latest 24-hour sample added, and a new daily sample of at least 600 created (Zogby release).
General Election Matchup
10/31-11/2
Bush 47%
Gore 45
Nader 3
Buchanan 1
DK/Other 4
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch tracking poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 593 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/1). The tracking poll surveys 200 likely voters as part of three 24-hour interview cycles converted into rolling averages with the earliest 24-hour sample eliminated, the latest 24-hour sample added, and a new daily sample of at least 600 created (Zogby release).
General Election Matchup
10/30-11/1 10/29-31 10/28-30 10/25-29 10/25-26
Bush 46% 47% 46% 47% 44%
Gore 43 43 45 45 46
Nader 4 4 4 3 4
Buchanan 1 0 0 1 1
DK/Other 6 5 5 4 5
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch tracking poll, conducted 10/29-31/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 602 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31). The tracking poll surveys 200 likely voters as part of three 24-hour interview cycles converted into rolling averages with the earliest 24-hour sample eliminated, the latest 24-hour sample added, and a new daily sample of at least 600 created (Zogby release).
General Election Matchup
10/29-31 10/28-30 10/25-29 10/25-26
Bush 47% 46% 47% 44%
Gore 43 45 45 46
Nader 4 4 3 4
Buchanan 0 0 1 1
DK/Other 5 5 4 5
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch tracking poll, conducted 10/28-30/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 669 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31). The tracking poll surveys 200 likely voters as part of three 24-hour interview cycles converted into rolling averages with the earliest 24-hour sample eliminated, the latest 24-hour sample added, and a new daily sample of at least 600 created (Zogby release).
General Election Matchup
10/28-30 10/25-29 10/25-26
Bush 46% 47% 44%
Gore 45 45 46
Nader 4 3 4
Buchanan 0 1 1
DK/Other 5 4 5
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch tracking poll, conducted 10/25-29/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 669 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Note: the 10/25-26 poll, surveyed 603 likely voters; +/- 4% (release, 10/30). The tracking poll surveys 200 likely voters as part of three 24-hour interview cycles converted into rolling averages with the earliest 24-hour sample eliminated, the latest 24-hour sample added, and a new daily sample of at least 600 created (Zogby release).
General Election Matchup
10/25-29 10/25-26
Bush 47% 44%
Gore 45 46
Nader 3 4
Buchanan 1 1
DK/Other 4 5
A Zogby Int'l poll, conducted 9/5-7/00 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and KMOV, surveyed 601 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/10).
General Election Matchup
All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Gore 45% 82% 5% 35% 44% 45%
Bush 40 7 86 33 40 40
Nader 3 4 2 5 5 2
Buchanan 2 - 1 6 3 1
DK/Others 10 7 6 21 8 12
A St. Louis Post-Dispatch/KMOV poll, conducted 2/12-15 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 1,204 likely Missouri voters; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsamples: 501 Dems; +/- 4% (2/20).
General Election Matchups
All Dem GOP Ind Other Men Women
Bush 48% 15% 93% 43% 33% 56% 41%
Gore 41 78 4 28 20 35 46
NS 11 7 4 29 47 10 13
McCain 54 24 89 56 60 60 48
Gore 36% 67% 5% 24% 20% 30% 40%
NS 11 9 6 20 20 10 12
Bradley 46% 77% 10% 43% 27% 44% 48%
Bush 44 14 85 40 33 50 38
NS 14 9 5 17 40 6 14
McCain 48 20 80 50 47 56 40
Bradley 36% 62% 12% 27% 27% 53% 38%
NS 16 18 9 23 27 10 22
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