Sept. 13, 2001
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White House 2000 General Election: State Polls
MONTANA A Great Falls Tribune poll; conducted 10/13-15/00 by A&A Research; surveyed 402 likely Montana voters; margin of error +/- 5% (Great Falls Tribune, 10/19).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 55% 62% 49%
Gore 30 23 37
Nader 4
Buchanan 1
Browne 1
Undec. 8
AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUPAn American Research Group poll, conducted 9/5-7/00, surveyed 600 likely Montana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 51% Gore 35 Nader 5 Others 0 Undec. 9LAKE SNELL PERRY (D) A Lake Snell Perry (D) poll; conducted 8/5-7/00 for rancher Brian Schweitzer (D); surveyed 600 regis. Montana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/9).
WH 2000 Match-Up Bush 53% Gore 30MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/23-24/00, surveyed 628 likely Montana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/28).
General Election Matchup Bush 49% Gore 37 Nader 5 Buchanan 2 Undec. 7
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 9/21-23/00 for Lee Newspapers, surveyed 625 regular Montana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (AP, 10/2).
General Election Matchup Bush 48% Gore 37 Nader 4 Buchanan 2 Undec. 9
A Lee Newspapers poll, conducted 5/22-24/00 by Mason-Dixon, surveyed 620 likely Montana voters; margin of error +/- 4% (5/27).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom 12/99
Bush 51% 57% 45% 46%
Gore 34 30 38 30
Buchanan 3 4 2 8
Undec. 12 9 15 16
MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITYA Montana State Univ.-Billings poll, conducted 10/19-23/00, surveyed 403 likely Montana voters; margin of error of +/- 5%.
General Election Matchup Bush 51% Gore 33 Nader 5 Buchanan 1
NEBRASKA An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/7-10/00, surveyed 600 likely Nebraska voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 53% Gore 32 Nader 2 Others 1 Undec. 13RKM RESEARCH AND COMMUNICATIONS An Omaha World-Herald poll, conducted 10/25-27/00 by RKM Research and Communications, surveyed 1,007 regis. Nebraska voters; margin of error +/- 3%
General Election Matchup
All 1stCD 2ndCD 3rdCD
Bush 56% 52% 52% 64%
Gore 31 34 36 22
Nader 2 ------n/a-------
Buchanan 1 ------n/a-------
DK/Other 10 ------n/a-------
An Omaha World-Herald poll; conducted 5/2-4/00 by RKM Research and Communications; surveyed 1,303 regis. Nebraska voters; margin of error +/- 2.7% (Thompson, Omaha World-Herald, 5/12).
General Election Match-Up
Now 3/00
Bush 50% 54%
Gore 33 27
Undec. 16 19
An Omaha World-Herald poll, conducted 3/20-23/00 by RKM Research and Communications of Portsmouth, NH, surveyed 1,402 Nebraska adults; margin of error +/- 2.6% (3/29).
General Election Matchup
All
Bush 54%
Gore 27
Undec. 19
NEVADA An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/10-14/00, surveyed 600 likely Nevada voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 44% Gore 41 Nader 3 Others 0 Undec. 12MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 10/26-28/00 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, surveyed 625 likely Nevada voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/31).
General Election Matchup
All
Bush 47%
Gore 43
Nader 2
Buchanan 1
DK/Other 7
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 9/9-12/00 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, surveyed 627 likely Nevada voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/17).
General Election Matchup Bush 46% Gore 42 Nader 3 Buchanan 1 Undec. 8
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 6/12-15/00 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, surveyed 637 regis. Nevada voters ; margin of error +/- 4% (6/18).
General Election Matchup
Now 3/00
Bush 49% 46%
Gore 37 38
Buchanan 2 5
Nader 2 n/a
Undec. 10 11
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 3/3-6/00 by Mason Dixon Polling and Research Inc.; surveyed 623 likely Nevada voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsamples: 304 GOP primary voters, margin of error +/-6%; and 256 Dem primary voters, margin of error +/- 6% (release, 3/7).
General Election Match-Ups Bush 46% McCain 49% Gore 38 Gore 32 Buchanan 5 Buchanan 8 Undec. 11 Undec. 11PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES (R) A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll, conducted 9/19-21/00 for GOP Senate nominee John Ensign, surveyed 600 likely Nevada voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/22).
General Election Matchup Gore 44% Bush 43 Nader 3 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 9
NEW HAMPSHIRE An American Research Group poll, conducted 11/2-3/00, surveyed 600 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup
Now 11/1 GOP Dem Oth
Bush 48% 45% 87% 10% 34%
Gore 38 40 2 78 47
Nader 9 5 4 7 15
Buchanan 2 2 2 0 0
Undec. 3 8 5 5 4
An American Research Group poll, conducted 10/31-11/1/00, surveyed 600 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup Bush 45% Gore 40 Nader 5 Buchanan 2 Undec. 8
An American Research Group poll, conducted 10/5-9/00, surveyed 600 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/10).
General Election Matchup
Now 9/20 GOP Dem Oth
Gore 46% 41% 8% 84% 62%
Bush 38 46 79 3 14
Buchanan 2 2 5 0 0
Nader 1 1 0 3 0
Undec. 13 9 8 10 24
An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/17-20/00, surveyed 600 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 46% Gore 41 Nader 2 Others 2 Undec. 9
An American Research Group poll, conducted 8/24-27/00, surveyed 540 regis. New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4.25% (release, 8/29).
General Election Matchups 4-Way All GOP Dem Oth 2-Way All GOP Dem Oth Bush 50% 80% 20% 40% Bush 48% 80% 20% 33% Gore 35 5 75 40 Gore 44 10 75 53 Nader 5 10 2 3 Undec. 8 10 5 14 Buchanan 1 -- -- -- Undec. 9 5 3 17
An American Research Group poll, conducted 6/19-22/00, surveyed 540 regis. New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (AP, 6/27).
General Election Matchup
Now 3/00
Bush 49% 33%
Gore 39 45
An American Research Group poll, conducted 3/13-14/00, surveyed 600 New Hampshire adults, 540 of whom are regis. voters; margin of error of the whole sample, +/- 4%; margin of error for the RV sample; +/- 4.25% (release, 3/16).
General Election Matchup
RVs All GOP Dem Oth
Gore 45% 42% 24% 70% 48%
Bush 33 34 53 10 30
Undec. 22 24 23 20 22
FRANKLIN PIERCE COLLEGEA WNDS-TV/Franklin Pierce College poll, conducted 10/22-25/00, surveyed 885 regis. New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 3% (AP, 10/31).
General Election Matchup Gore 43% Bush 40 Nader 5 DK/Other 12RESEARCH 2000 A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00 for the Concord Monitor, surveyed 600 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 11/3).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 46% 42% 51%
Bush 42 47 37
Nader 2 3 1
Buchanan 1 2 0
Undec. 9 6 11
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 10/16-18/00 for the Concord Monitor, surveyed 603 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/20).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 44% 40% 48%
Bush 41 46 36
Nader 1 1 1
Buchanan 1 2 --
Undec. 13 11 15
A Research 2000 poll, conducted 9/24-27/00 for the Concord Monitor, surveyed 605 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/1).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Bush 45% 49% 41%
Gore 40 36 44
Nader 2 3 1
Buchanan 1 2 0
Undec. 12 10 14
RKM RESEARCHA Boston Herald poll, conducted 10/30-31/00 by RKM Research and Communications, surveyed 487 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup
All Ind Men Wom
Gore 43% 36% 38% 48%
Bush 42 37 47 38
Nader 3 ----n/a----
Buchanan 1 ----n/a----
Others 3 ----n/a----
Undec. 8 18 -- --
UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUTA Univ. of CT poll, conducted 9/15-20/00, surveyed 522 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 10/3).
General Election Matchup Gore 44% Bush 34 Nader 3 Buchanan 2 Other 1 DK/Refused 18UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE A WMUR/Univ. of NH poll, conducted 9/1-6/00, surveyed 786 likely New Hampshire voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/9).
General Election Matchup Gore 42% Bush 42 Nader 4 Buchanan 2 DK/Other 10ZOGBY A Reuters/WHDH-TV poll, conducted 1/7-9/00 by Zogby Int'l, surveyed 602 likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release 1/12).
Two-Way Matchups: (Among 1,213 likely Dem and GOP Primary Voters) Gore 48% Bush 45 Bradley 54 Bush 39 McCain 56% Gore 36 McCain 49 Bradley 40
NEW JERSEY An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/11-14/00, surveyed 600 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 36% Gore 47 Nader 4 Others 1 Undec. 12
Conducted 5/1-9/00 by American Research Group; surveyed 600 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/11).
General Election Match-Up
Vote
Gore 45%
Bush 44
Undec. 11
Strength Of Support
Bush Gore
Strongly support 21% 15%
Would never support 33 37
GANNETT NEW JERSEYA Gannett NJ poll, conducted 11/2-4/00, surveyed 843 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4% (Asbury Park Press, 11/5).
General Election Matchup Gore 47% Bush 34 Nader 6 Other 3 Undec. 10
A Gannett NJ poll, conducted 10/26-28/00, surveyed 575 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (Asbury Park Press, 10/29).
General Election Matchup Gore 41% Bush 36 DK/Other 23
A Gannett NJ poll, conducted 10/12-14/00, surveyed 510 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 10/15).
General Election Matchup Gore 45% Bush 31 DK/Other 24
A Gannett New Jersey poll, conducted 8/24-27, surveyed 430 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4.7% (Asbury Park Press, 9/3).
General Election Matchup
Now 8/17-19 8/3-5
Gore 39% 44% 33%
Bush 32 34 41
DK/Other 30 22 26
A Gannett New Jersey poll, conducted 8/17-19, surveyed 429 regis. voters; margin of error +/- 5% (Asbury Park Press, 8/20).
General Election Matchup
Now 8/3-5
Gore 44% 33%
Bush 34 41
DK/Other 22 26
A Gannett NJ poll, conducted 8/3-5/00, surveyed 553 New Jersey adults; margin of error +/- 4.2% (AP, 8/7).
General Election Matchup Bush 41% Gore 33 Others 5 Refused 3 Undec. 18
A Gannett New Jersey poll, conducted 6/22-25/00, surveyed 408 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 5% (Asbury Park Press, 7/9).
General Election Matchup Bush 35% Gore 34 Other 4 Refused 5 Undec. 21MARKET SHARES A Chicago Tribune poll, conducted 9/11-17 by Market Shares Corp., surveyed 500 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4.3% (9/24).
General Election Matchup
All
Gore 50%
Bush 32
Nader 5
Buchanan 1
DK/Other 12
MASON-DIXONA Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, Inc. poll; conducted 6/2-4/00; surveyed 423 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 6/12).
General Election Match-Up
All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Gore 42% 39% 45% 76% 3% 40%
Bush 40 43 37 7 84 38
Buchanan 2 3 1 1 2 3
Nader 4 3 5 5 1 5
Undec. 12 12 12 11 10 14
NEWARK STAR-LEDGER/EAGLETON POLLA Newark Star Ledger/Eagleton Rutgers poll, conducted 10/23-26/00, surveyed 432 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/29).
General Election Matchup
All W/Lnrs Men Wom Ind
Gore 47% 53% 44% 49% 43%
Bush 35 39 40 32 31
Others 7 3 ----n/a----
Undec. 11 5 ----n/a----
A Newark Star Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers, conducted 10/12-15/00, surveyed 500 registered New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4.4%.
General Election Matchup
Now 9/00
Gore 46% 47%
Bush 37 34
A Newark Star Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers poll, conducted 9/6-13/00, surveyed 670 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/18).
General Election Matchup Gore 47% Bush 34 Nader 3 Buchanan 1 Undec. 15
A Newark Star-Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers poll, conducted 6/6-18/00, surveyed 618 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 4% (6/23).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom Fav/Unfav
Gore 44% 38% 50% 46%/28%
Bush 40 46 34 40 /30
A Newark Star-Ledger/Eagleton Poll; conducted 2/28-3/9/00; surveyed 617 New Jersey adults; margin of error +/- 4% (Wald, Newark Star-Ledger, 3/12).
General Election Match-Up Gore 39% Bush 36 Neither/other 12 Undecided 13NEW YORK TIMES A New York Times poll, conducted 10/12-15/00, surveyed 908 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 10/18).
General Election Matchup Gore 49% Bush 34 Nader 8 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 10PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOC. (D) A Penn Schoen and Berland Assoc. (D) poll, surveyed 510 regis. voters; margin of error +/-4.33% (release 8/31).
General Election Matchup
Gore-Lieberman 50%
Bush-Cheney 39
Don't Know 11
QUINNIPIAC COLLEGEA Quinnipiac University poll; conducted 11/1-5/00; surveyed 770 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 11/6). Tested: Rep. Bob Franks (R-07) and ex-Goldman Sachs exec Jon Corzine (D).
General Election Match-Up
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 49% 7% 88% 53% 41% 55%
Bush 41 87 4 32 46 36
Buchanan 1 - - 1 2 -
Nader 4 1 1 11 7 3
DK/NA 5 5 6 4 4 6
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted 10/18-23/00, surveyed 909 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 10/25).
General Election Matchup
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 9/26-10/1
Gore 47% 6% 89% 46% 37% 55% 50%
Bush 41 89 4 33 52 31 36
Nader 4 1 2 6 4 3 6
Buchanan 1 1 0 1 1 0 1
DK/Other 8 2 5 15 6 9 6
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted 9/26-10/1/00, surveyed 820 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/3).
General Election Match-Up
ALL GOP DEM IND MEN WOM
Gore 50% 9% 87% 44% 43% 56%
Bush 36 82 4 35 46 29
Nader 6 2 4 10 5 7
Buchanan 1 1 1 2 1 2
A Quinnipiac College poll, conducted 8/18-8/20, surveyed 802 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/-3.5% (release 8/24).
General Election Matchups 4-Way All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 7/00 Gore 49% 13% 85% 42% 42% 56% 42% Bush 37 80 6 36 45 30 38 Nader 4 2 4 6 4 4 7 Buchanan 1 2 - 3 2 1 2 DK/Other 9 3 4 14 7 10 11
A Quinnipiac College poll, conducted 6/20-26/00, surveyed 1,004 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 6/28).
General Election Matchups 2-Way All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/21-27 Gore 45% 9% 81% 38% 40% 49% 50% Bush 40 86 9 39 47 35 37 DK/Other 15 6 11 23 14 15 14 4-Way All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/21-27 Gore 41% 8% 76% 34% 35% 45% 48% Bush 37 80 7 35 44 32 35 Nader 7 5 5 11 8 6 n/a Buchanan 3 2 2 3 3 2 6 DK/Other 11 4 9 16 9 14 12
A Quinnipiac College poll, conducted 3/21-27/00, surveyed 1,177 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 3/30).
General Election Matchups
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 50% 13% 89% 47% 46% 54%
Bush 37 78 5 34 41 33
DK/Other 14 9 7 19 13 12
Gore 48% 11% 86% 46% 44% 51%
Bush 35 75 5 32 38 32
Buchanan 6 6 3 6 6 5
DK/Other 12 8 7 16 12 12
A Quinnipiac College poll, conducted 2/16-21/00, surveyed 1,109 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples: 307 GOPers; +/- 5.6%; and 374 Dems; +/- 5.1% (release, 2/24).
General Election Matchups
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 47% 11% 83% 41% 44% 50%
Bush 41 81 10 43 46 37
DK/Other 12 7 6 16 10 14
Bradley 60% 31% 84% 58% 59% 60%
Bush 32 62 10 33 33 30
DK/Other 9 8 6 9 7 11
All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
McCain 51% 79% 23% 62% 59% 45%
Gore 38 12 70 28 34 41
DK/Other 11 10 8 11 6 15
Bradley 49% 25% 71% 46% 48% 49%
McCain 38 65 19 39 44 33
DK/Other 13 10 10 15 8 17
RESEARCH 2000A Research 2000 poll, conducted 9/21-27/00 for the Bergen Record, surveyed 1,110 likely New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 10/1).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom
Gore 48% 44% 52%
Bush 34 38 30
Nader 3 4 2
Others 2 2 2
Undec. 13 12 14
The Research 2000 New Jersey Poll; conducted 2/18-26/00 for The Bergen Daily Record; surveyed 1,181 regis. New Jersey voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 3/5).
General Election Match-Ups (Asked of LVs)
All Men Wom
Gore 47% 43% 51%
Bush 39 43 35
Undec. 14 14 14
All Men Wom
Bradley 55% 53% 57%
Bush 35 38 32
Undec. 10 9 11
All Men Wom
McCain 46% 50% 42%
Gore 36 33 39
Undec. 18 17 19
All Men Wom
Bradley 47% 44% 50%
McCain 37 42 32
Undec. 16 14 18
NEW MEXICO An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/11-15/00, surveyed 600 likely New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 40% Gore 46 Nader 4 Others 0 Undec. 10MASON-DIXON A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 11/1-2/00 for the Santa Fe New Mexican, surveyed 425 likely New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup Bush 45% Gore 45 Nader 4 Buchanan 1 Undec. 5
A Mason-Dixon poll, conducted 9/28-30/00 for the Santa Fe New Mexican, surveyed 422 likely New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 10/4).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom GOP Dem Ind Wht His
Bush 44% 51% 37% 83% 19% 41% 56% 21%
Gore 41 36 46 65 32 30 61
Nader 6
Buchanan 1
DK/Other 8
NEW MEXICO STATE UNIVERSITYA NM State Univ. poll, conducted 9/26-28/00, surveyed 600 likely New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 4% (Albuquerque Journal, 10/6).
General Election Matchup
All His Non-His 18-29 30-64 65+
Gore 42% 70% 41% 66% 46% 52%
Bush 42 30 59 33 54 39
Nader 5 -----------n/a-------------
Buchanan 0 -----------n/a-------------
Undec. 10 -----------n/a-------------
RESEARCH AND POLLING INC.An Albuquerque Journal poll, conducted 10/30-11/2/00 by Research and Polling, surveyed 769 likely New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup Bush 44% Gore 41 Nader 5 DK/Other 10
An Albuquerque Journal poll, conducted 9/7-13/00 by Research and Polling Inc. of NM, surveyed 553 regis. New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/18).
General Election Matchup
All Men Wom GOP Dem Hisp
Bush 43% 48% 38% 81% 18% 25%
Gore 42 43 41 7 67 57
Nader 2 ---------n/a--------
Buchanan 1 ---------n/a--------
Undec. 11 ---------n/a--------
A Research and Polling Inc. poll conducted 3/14-16/00 surveyed 408 regis. New Mexico voters; margin of error +/- 5% (Albuquerque Journal, 3/20). Tested: Al Gore and George W. Bush
General Election Matchups
All/GOP/Dem/His/White/Wom/Men
Bush 41% 80% 21% 26% 49% 35% 48%
Gore 41 6 62 55 34 44 38
Undecided 12 7 13 18 9 16 8
NEW YORK An American Research Group poll, conducted 9/11-16/00, surveyed 600 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 9/21).
General Election Matchup Bush 30% Gore 55 Nader 4 Others 3 Undec. 8
An American Research Group poll, conducted 8/2-3/00, surveyed 600 likely New York voters margin of error +/- 4% (release, 8/4).
General Election Matchup
Now 7/00 5/00
Gore 50% 46% 56%
Bush 35 37 36
Nader 7 9 --
Undec. 8 8 8
An American Research Group poll, conducted 7/7-12/00, surveyed 600 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchup Gore 46% Bush 37 Nader 9 Undec. 8
Conducted 5/1-9/00 by American Research Group; surveyed 600 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 5/10).
General Election Match-Up
Vote
Gore 56%
Bush 36
Undec. 8
Strength Of Support
Gore Bush
Strongly support 40% 17%
Would never support 18 37
BLUM AND WEPRIN ASSOCIATESA New York Daily News/WCBS poll, conducted 10/30-11/3/00 by Blum and Weprin, surveyed 883 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/5).
General Election Matchup Gore 55% Bush 33 DK/Other 12
A NY1 News poll, conducted 10/23-25/00 by Blum and Weprin, surveyed 844 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/26).
General Election Matchup Gore 55% Bush 31 Nader 4 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 10
A New York Daily News/NY1 poll, conducted 5/30-6/1/00, surveyed 1,001 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3% (6/4).
General Election Matchup
Now 2/00
Gore 46% 53%
Bush 35 34
Not Sure 18 --
A New York Daily News/New York 1 poll; conducted 1/16-19/00 by Blum and Weprin Associates; surveyed 1,004 regis. N.Y. voters; margin of error +/- 3% (News York Daily News, 1/21).
General Election Match-Ups Gore 48% Bradley 47% Bush 37 Bush 36CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES A CBS/New York Times poll; conducted 9/14-19/00; surveyed 1,212 regis. New York voters with a subsample of 1,066 likely voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 9/21).
WH 2000 Match-Up
-------Initial--------
All NYC Suburb Upstate
Gore 57% 75% 57% 44%
Bush 29 13 32 39
Buchanan 1 - 1 2
Nader 5 5 5 6
DK/NA 8 7 5 9
MARIST INSTITUTEA Marist Inst. poll, conducuted 11/2-5/00, surveyed 580 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/6).
General Election Matchup
LVs W/Lnrs
Gore 54% 55%
Bush 36 37
Nader 4 4
Buchanan 1 1
Undec. 5 3
A Marist Inst. poll, conducted 10/29-30/00, surveyed 516 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/1).
General Election Matchup Gore 50% Bush 36 Nader 4 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 9
A Marist Inst. poll, conducted 10/10-11/00, surveyed 473 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/16).
General Election Matchup
LVs W/Lnrs UpState NYC Burbs Men Wom
Gore 51% 54% 41% 72% 42% 49% 54%
Bush 35 36 47 13 43 38 33
Nader 4 3 3 3 5 4 3
Buchanan 2 2 1 4 0 3 1
DK/Other 8 5 7 7 10 5 9
A Marist Inst. poll, conducted 9/19-20, surveyed 480 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/25).
General Election Matchup Gore 55% Bush 32 Nader 4 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 8
A Marist poll, conducted 9/6-7/00, 9/10/00, surveyed 759 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsample: 480 likely voters; +/- 5% (release, 9/11).
General Election Matchup
LVs W/Lnrs RVs
Gore 56% 58% 52%
Bush 31 31 31
Nader 3 4 4
Buchanan 1 1 1
DK/Other 9 6 12
A Marist Inst. poll, conducted 3/27-28/00, surveyed 561 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/3).
General Election Matchup
Now 12/99 UpState NYC Burbs Men Wom
Gore 49% 46% 39% 65% 50% 46% 53%
Bush 38 47 47 23 41 42 35
Other 4 n/a 5 3 2 2 4
Undec. 9 7 9 9 7 10 8
PRINCETON SURVEY RESEARCH ASSOCIATES-NYA Newsday/WB11 poll, conducted 10/28-31/00 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc., surveyed 1,103 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsample: 844 likely voters; +/- 4% (release, 11/2).
General Election Matchup Gore 53% Bush 35 Nader 5 Buchanan 1 DK/Other 6
A Newsday/WB-11 poll, conducted 10/11-15/00 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc., surveyed 1,103 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3%. Subsample: 795 likely voters; +/- 3.5% (release, 10/17).
General Election Matchup
LVs RVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Gore 60% 58% 87% 20% 51% 54% 51%
Bush 31 31 6 73 31 36% 26
Nader 4 4 2 1 9 5 3
Buchanan 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
Undec./Other 4 7 4 6 8 5 9
A Long Island Newsday/WB11 poll, conducted 9/23-27/00 by Princeton Survey Research Assoc., surveyed 1,101 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 4%. Subsample: 851 likely voters; +/- 4% (release, 9/29).
General Election Matchup
LVs RVs NYC Burbs UpState Men Wom
Gore 60% 58% 71% 53% 47% 54% 61%
Bush 31 31 19 33 41 36 26
Nader 4 4 4 3 5 5 3
Buchanan 1 0 0 1 0 0 1
Undec. 4 7 6 10 7 5 9
QUINNIPIAC COLLEGEA Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted 9/20-25/00, surveyed 889 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 9/28).
General Election Matchups
All UpState NYC Burbs GOP Dem Ind
Gore 54% 47% 67% 51% 10% 87% 51%
Bush 34 39 23 38 80 5 31
Nader 6 6 5 7 3 4 8
Buchanan 1 2 1 - 1 1 2
DK/Other 5 6 5 4 5 2 7
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted 9/5-10/00, surveyed 803 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/13).
General Election Matchup Gore 56% Bush 29 Nader 6 Buchanan 2
A Quinnipiac University poll; conducted 8/4-8/00; surveyed 644 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/10).
WH 2000 Match-Ups
All Ups NYC Sub GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 44% 33% 62% 42% 8% 77% 44% 43% 46%
Bush 39 50 20 45 83 10 36 44 36
DK/NA 12 12 14 11 8 11 15 9 15
All Ups NYC Sub GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 42% 31% 58% 39% 8% 74% 38% 40% 42%
Bush 38 48 22 44 80 10 34 42 36
Buchanan 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 1
Nader 6 6 7 4 2 4 11 6 6
DK/NA 11 12 11 11 8 10 13 8 13
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted 7/5-10/00, surveyed 1,086 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 7/13).
General Election Matchups Two-Way All UpState NYC Burbs Gore 49% 42% 61% 45% Bush 37 42 26 44 DK/Other 14 16 13 11 Two-Way GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/28-4/3 Gore 9% 82% 47% 44% 53% 53% Bush 79 11 36 43 33 36 DK/Other 13 8 16 12 14 11 4-Way All UpState NYC Burbs Gore 45% 37% 58% 41% Bush 35 41 22 40 Nader 7 7 8 6 Buchanan 2 2 1 2 DK/Other 13 13 11 11 4-Way GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Gore 8% 76% 42% 41% 48% Bush 77 8 32 41 30 Nader 3 6 12 6 7 Buchanan 2 1 2 1 2 DK/Other 10 8 12 9 13
A Quinnipiac College poll; conducted 4/24-30/00; surveyed 952 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/2).
General Election Match-Ups
Now 4/6
Gore 52% 53%
Bush 36 36
Now
Gore 50%
Bush 34
Buchanan 4
A Quinnipiac College poll, conducted 3/28-4/3/00, surveyed 1,058 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 3% (release, 4/6).
General Election Matchups
All 3/6 UpState NYC Burbs
Gore 53% 53% 40% 71% 53%
Bush 36 36 47 20 36
DK/Other 11 12 12 9 10
GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk Men Wom
Gore 13% 86% 48% 48% 84% 49% 57%
Bush 81 9 35 41 10 42 30
DK/Other 5 6 17 12 6 8 13
All 3/6 UpState NYC Burbs
Gore 52% -- 38% 69% 53%
Bush 34 -- 43 19 37
Buchanan 4 -- 6 3 1
DK/Other 11 -- 13 8 9
GOP Dem Ind Wht Blk Men Wom
Gore 13% 83% 48% 46% 79% 47% 56%
Bush 77 8 32 39 9 41 28
Buchanan 4 2 5 4 5 4 3
DK/Other 7 7 16 11 8 8 14
A Quinnipiac College poll, conducted 2/22-28/00, surveyed 1,842 regis. New York voters; margin of error +/- 2.3%. Subsamples: 312 likely Dem primary voters; +/- 5.6%; and 264 likely GOP primary voters; +/- 6% (release, 3/1).
General Election Matchups Gore 53% Bush 36 Bradley 51% Bush 35 Gore 44% McCain 43 McCain 44% Bradley 39
General Election Matchups
All UpState NYC Burbs GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Gore 53% 46% 62% 51% 12% 84% 50% 51% 55%
Bush 37 42 28 39 80 9 36 41 34
DK/Other 10 11 10 10 9 7 13 9 12
Bradley 53% 42% 65% 55% 18% 79% 53% 52% 53%
Bush 34 43 24 33 70 12 32 38 31
DK/Other 13 15 11 12 12 9 15 10 16
Gore 46% 40% 60% 39% 17% 72% 38% 39% 52%
McCain 42 49 29 47 76 16 48 51 36
DK/Other 11 11 10 14 7 12 14 10 13
Bradley 43% 34% 58% 39% 16% 67% 38% 41% 45%
McCain 40 47 27 45 71 18 43 46 36
DK/Other 17 20 14 15 13 15 19 14 20
General Election Matchups
All UpState NYC Burbs GOP Dem Ind
Gore 47% 37% 59% 49% 10% 79% 44%
Bush 39 48 27 41 81 12 38
Undec./Other 13 15 14 10 10 9 19
Bradley 52%
Bush 35
Undec./Other 13
Gore 47%
McCain 38
Undec./Other 16
Bradley 49%
McCain 29
Undec./Other 22
General Election Matchups
All UpState NYC Burbs GOP Dem Ind
Gore 47% 37% 59% 49% 10% 79% 44%
Bush 39 48 27 41 81 12 38
Undec./Other 13 15 14 10 10 9 19
Bradley 52% Gore 47%
Bush 35 McCain 38
Undec./Other 13 Undec./Other 16
Bradley 49%
McCain 29
Undec./Other 22
SIENA COLLEGEA Siena College poll, conducted 3/30-4/3/00, surveyed 690 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 4/6).
General Election Matchups
All NYC Non-NYC Dem GOP Oth Men Wom
Gore 44% 60% 36% 74% 10% 37% 41% 47%
Bush 36 23 43 12 73 33 41 31
Other 10 10 11 8 11 15 10 11
DK 10 7 11 7 7 15 8 12
Gore 42% 58% 34% 72% 9% 36% 39% 46%
Bush 33 21 40 11 68 29 38 28
Buchanan 5 5 5 2 9 4 5 4
Other 10 10 10 9 8 15 10 10
DK 10 6 12 6 7 16 8 12
ZOGBYA Zogby tracking poll, conducted 11/3-5/00 for the New York Post/FOX5, surveyed 695 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Note: all undecideds were allocated (release, 11/5). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of approx. 230 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 700 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
11/3-5
Gore 53%
Bush 39
Nader 7
Buchanan 0
Not Sure 0
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/31-11/2/00 for the New York Post/FOX5, surveyed 704 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/2). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of approx. 230 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 700 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/31-11/2
Gore 52%
Bush 37
Nader 4
Buchanan 0
Not Sure 6
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/30-11/1/00 for the New York Post/FOX5, surveyed 681 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 11/1). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/30-11/1 10/29-31 10/28-30 10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 51% 49% 48% 50% 50%
Bush 36 37 37 36 37
Nader 5 6 7 7 8
Buchanan 1 1 1 1 1
Not Sure 7 7 7 6 5
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/29-31/00 for the New York Post/FOX5, surveyed 681 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/31). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/29-31 10/28-30 10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 49% 48% 50% 50%
Bush 37 37 36 37
Nader 6 7 7 8
Buchanan 1 1 1 1
Not Sure 7 7 6 5
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/28-30/00 for the New York Post/FOX5, surveyed 684 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/31). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/28-30 10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 48% 50% 50%
Bush 37 36 37
Nader 7 7 8
Buchanan 1 1 1
Not Sure 7 6 5
A Zogby tracking poll, conducted 10/27-29/00 for the New York Post/FOX5, surveyed 694 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/30). This tracking poll is a rolling sample of 200 likely voters each 24-hour period, with the three most recent 24-hour surveys added together for a approx. 600 likely voter sample.
General Election Matchup
10/27-29 10/27-28
Gore 50% 50%
Bush 36 37
Nader 7 8
Buchanan 1 1
Not Sure 6 5
A Zogby poll, conducted 9/29-10/1/00, surveyed 702 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 10/2).
General Election Matchup
All UpState Burbs NYC
Gore 51% 44% 43% 70%
Bush 35 39 43 19
Nader 4 5 3 4
Buchanan 0 0 0 0
DK/Other 10 11 11 7
A Zogby Int'l poll, conducted 9/6-8/00 for the Buffalo News and Albany Times-Union, surveyed 716 likely New York voters; margin of error +/- 3.8%. A second Zogby poll, conducted 9/7-9 for the New York Post, overlapping with the first one, surveyed 703 likely voters; margin of error +/- 3.8% (releases, 9/9, 9/10, 9/11).
General Election Matchup 2-Way 9/7-9 Cath Prot Jew 9/6-8 Gore 55% 47% 52% 83% 53% Bush 36 43 41 14 28 DK/Other 9 10 7 4 13 4-Way 9/7-9 UpState Burbs NYC Dem GOP Ind Gore 52% 45% 44% 74% 81% 26% 42% Bush 35 41 43 13 8 64 34 Nader 6 6 6 5 6 2 14 Buchanan 1 - - 1 - 1 - DK/Others 6 8 7 7 5 7 10
A Zogby Int'l poll, conducted 2/2-3/00, surveyed 700 likely N.Y. voters; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 2/4).
General Election Matchups Gore 44% Bush 35 Not Sure 21 McCain 43% Gore 40 Not Sure 18 Bradley 46% Bush 35 Not Sure 19 McCain 39% Bradley 39 Not Sure 22 |
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