------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- log: H:\israel99\Analyses\party-pmhigh3b.log log type: text opened on: 26 Mar 2002, 22:46:38 . /* Part IV */ > logit high1vt p12pm p13pm p12 p13 p14; Iteration 0: log likelihood = -545.19198 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -496.29767 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -495.9946 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -495.99448 Logit estimates Number of obs = 796 LR chi2(5) = 98.40 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -495.99448 Pseudo R2 = 0.0902 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high1vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- p12pm | 1.806186 .3908726 4.62 0.000 1.04009 2.572282 p13pm | -.3138381 .3750789 -0.84 0.403 -1.048979 .4213031 p12 | .3862671 .8824015 0.44 0.662 -1.343208 2.115742 p13 | 2.984738 .8929117 3.34 0.001 1.234663 4.734812 p14 | 2.733853 .8928227 3.06 0.002 .9839527 4.483753 _cons | -.2619661 .0954238 -2.75 0.006 -.4489932 -.074939 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ . logit high1vt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp; Iteration 0: log likelihood = -490.13221 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -445.30531 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -444.91308 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -444.91277 Logit estimates Number of obs = 731 LR chi2(7) = 90.44 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -444.91277 Pseudo R2 = 0.0923 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high1vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pb12pm | 1.454689 .7399889 1.97 0.049 .0043378 2.905041 pb13pm | -.4743482 .2461231 -1.93 0.054 -.9567405 .0080442 pb23pm | -.3667416 .1970918 -1.86 0.063 -.7530343 .0195511 pb12kp | -.4360481 2.534729 -0.17 0.863 -5.404026 4.53193 pb13kp | 7.201125 1.795319 4.01 0.000 3.682365 10.71989 pb14kp | 3.381621 1.096996 3.08 0.002 1.231549 5.531693 pb23kp | -5.502531 3.596967 -1.53 0.126 -12.55246 1.547396 _cons | -.1143871 .1104584 -1.04 0.300 -.3308816 .1021074 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ . logit high1vt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp pb1212 pb1213 pb1214 pb122 > 3 pb1312 pb1313 pb1314 pb1323 pb2312 pb2313 pb2314 pb2323; Iteration 0: log likelihood = -490.13221 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -430.85037 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -429.34498 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -429.32267 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -429.32265 Logit estimates Number of obs = 731 LR chi2(19) = 121.62 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -429.32265 Pseudo R2 = 0.1241 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high1vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pb12pm | .9565514 .9457335 1.01 0.312 -.8970522 2.810155 pb13pm | -.0669933 .3382973 -0.20 0.843 -.7300439 .5960573 pb23pm | -.2831294 .2920671 -0.97 0.332 -.8555704 .2893117 pb12kp | -1.323866 2.886277 -0.46 0.646 -6.980864 4.333133 pb13kp | 5.574386 2.242015 2.49 0.013 1.180117 9.968656 pb14kp | 2.828981 1.33268 2.12 0.034 .2169761 5.440986 pb23kp | -4.393293 4.067382 -1.08 0.280 -12.36522 3.57863 pb1212 | 63.61053 23.31651 2.73 0.006 17.91101 109.31 pb1213 | -6.64219 16.4271 -0.40 0.686 -38.83872 25.55434 pb1214 | -3.751758 10.45391 -0.36 0.720 -24.24104 16.73752 pb1223 | 27.67302 35.76584 0.77 0.439 -42.42675 97.77279 pb1312 | 8.958703 7.705273 1.16 0.245 -6.143354 24.06076 pb1313 | 5.819506 6.21592 0.94 0.349 -6.363473 18.00248 pb1314 | .6385944 3.890909 0.16 0.870 -6.987448 8.264637 pb1323 | -7.16308 6.931799 -1.03 0.301 -20.74916 6.422996 pb2312 | 3.780695 6.783092 0.56 0.577 -9.513921 17.07531 pb2313 | -4.766129 5.510885 -0.86 0.387 -15.56727 6.035008 pb2314 | -3.334885 3.471966 -0.96 0.337 -10.13981 3.470043 pb2323 | .6295458 9.794034 0.06 0.949 -18.56641 19.8255 _cons | -.2612224 .1247596 -2.09 0.036 -.5057467 -.0166981 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ . logit high1vt pmwin pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp; Iteration 0: log likelihood = -490.13221 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -397.51594 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -395.21328 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -395.19756 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -395.19756 Logit estimates Number of obs = 731 LR chi2(8) = 189.87 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -395.19756 Pseudo R2 = 0.1937 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high1vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pmwin | 1.973488 .2102846 9.38 0.000 1.561337 2.385638 pb12pm | -.1675051 .8009653 -0.21 0.834 -1.737368 1.402358 pb13pm | -1.005261 .2734387 -3.68 0.000 -1.541191 -.4693306 pb23pm | -.3172345 .2108403 -1.50 0.132 -.7304739 .0960048 pb12kp | -3.487966 2.749978 -1.27 0.205 -8.877824 1.901892 pb13kp | 8.608053 1.927424 4.47 0.000 4.830371 12.38573 pb14kp | 4.220097 1.192587 3.54 0.000 1.88267 6.557524 pb23kp | -9.018795 3.906229 -2.31 0.021 -16.67486 -1.362728 _cons | -1.364452 .1854073 -7.36 0.000 -1.727843 -1.00106 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ . logit high1vt pmwin pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp pb1213 pb1214 pb1223 > pb1312 pb1313 pb1314 pb1323 pb2312 pb2313 pb2314 pb2323; Iteration 0: log likelihood = -490.13221 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -388.30997 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -384.31495 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -384.17545 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -384.17503 Logit estimates Number of obs = 731 LR chi2(19) = 211.91 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -384.17503 Pseudo R2 = 0.2162 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high1vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- pmwin | 2.017332 .216755 9.31 0.000 1.5925 2.442164 pb12pm | .0679406 .9562511 0.07 0.943 -1.806277 1.942158 pb13pm | -.7433757 .3683474 -2.02 0.044 -1.465323 -.0214282 pb23pm | -.0591663 .3165393 -0.19 0.852 -.6795719 .5612394 pb12kp | -2.3708 2.990641 -0.79 0.428 -8.23235 3.490749 pb13kp | 4.708083 2.356062 2.00 0.046 .0902852 9.32588 pb14kp | 3.594749 1.462577 2.46 0.014 .728151 6.461347 pb23kp | -6.347941 4.332491 -1.47 0.143 -14.83947 2.143586 pb1213 | 24.5752 13.71782 1.79 0.073 -2.311245 51.46164 pb1214 | -2.450326 10.89637 -0.22 0.822 -23.80681 18.90616 pb1223 | -33.06952 30.20544 -1.09 0.274 -92.2711 26.13206 pb1312 | 6.366237 7.58904 0.84 0.402 -8.508007 21.24048 pb1313 | 8.089652 6.646154 1.22 0.224 -4.93657 21.11587 pb1314 | 1.297628 4.178491 0.31 0.756 -6.892063 9.48732 pb1323 | -7.680748 7.416263 -1.04 0.300 -22.21636 6.854861 pb2312 | 2.112467 6.610198 0.32 0.749 -10.84328 15.06822 pb2313 | -6.516229 5.682377 -1.15 0.251 -17.65348 4.621025 pb2314 | -3.912792 3.832083 -1.02 0.307 -11.42354 3.597952 pb2323 | -4.418522 10.81993 -0.41 0.683 -25.6252 16.78816 _cons | -1.497835 .1966255 -7.62 0.000 -1.883214 -1.112456 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ . /* > logit high1vt b12npm b13npm b23npm b12nkp b13nkp b14nkp b23nkp; > logit high1vt pmwin b12npm b13npm b23npm b12kp b13kp b14kp b23kp; > */ > > set matsize 100; . /**** Multinomial analysis ***/ > mlogit highvt p12pm p13pm p12 p13 p14, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -398.17601 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -345.26881 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -333.51804 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -333.18864 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -333.18499 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -333.18499 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 571 LR chi2(15) = 129.98 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -333.18499 Pseudo R2 = 0.1632 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ highvt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | p12pm | 3.334427 1.469525 2.27 0.023 .4542105 6.214643 p13pm | -.0700971 1.321849 -0.05 0.958 -2.660873 2.520679 p12 | -1.199031 2.853979 -0.42 0.674 -6.792727 4.394666 p13 | .438694 3.02314 0.15 0.885 -5.486551 6.363939 p14 | -7.778143 3.310905 -2.35 0.019 -14.2674 -1.288889 _cons | 1.537638 .3150267 4.88 0.000 .9201965 2.155079 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | p12pm | -4.526827 2.216331 -2.04 0.041 -8.870756 -.1828991 p13pm | 2.298361 1.562028 1.47 0.141 -.7631564 5.359879 p12 | -.4688594 3.88814 -0.12 0.904 -8.089475 7.151756 p13 | 13.65414 4.525844 3.02 0.003 4.783645 22.52463 p14 | -2.188181 4.181863 -0.52 0.601 -10.38448 6.008119 _cons | -.6139644 .5024018 -1.22 0.222 -1.598654 .3707249 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | p12pm | 2.833189 1.383804 2.05 0.041 .1209838 5.545394 p13pm | -.2465854 1.209502 -0.20 0.838 -2.617166 2.123995 p12 | 1.491839 2.700632 0.55 0.581 -3.801303 6.784982 p13 | 5.501876 2.802065 1.96 0.050 .0099301 10.99382 p14 | -2.87406 3.122389 -0.92 0.357 -8.99383 3.24571 _cons | 2.861665 .2966358 9.65 0.000 2.28027 3.443061 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome highvt==No Favorite is the comparison group) . mlogit highvt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -296.9724 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -257.3631 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -244.80947 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -244.40768 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -244.40228 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -244.40227 Iteration 6: log likelihood = -244.40227 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 529 LR chi2(21) = 105.14 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -244.40227 Pseudo R2 = 0.1770 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ highvt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | pb12pm | 4.212704 3.055436 1.38 0.168 -1.77584 10.20125 pb13pm | .4637975 1.039241 0.45 0.655 -1.573077 2.500672 pb23pm | -.1242573 .7466916 -0.17 0.868 -1.587746 1.339231 pb12kp | 8.472823 9.920307 0.85 0.393 -10.97062 27.91627 pb13kp | -15.40835 7.340203 -2.10 0.036 -29.79488 -1.021815 pb14kp | -6.456486 4.514543 -1.43 0.153 -15.30483 2.391857 pb23kp | 31.60899 12.56591 2.52 0.012 6.98026 56.23771 _cons | 1.502681 .4351179 3.45 0.001 .6498659 2.355497 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | pb12pm | -3.189491 4.208316 -0.76 0.449 -11.43764 5.058658 pb13pm | .0135587 1.195475 0.01 0.991 -2.329528 2.356646 pb23pm | .4601054 1.251176 0.37 0.713 -1.992155 2.912366 pb12kp | 11.54881 12.76537 0.90 0.366 -13.47085 36.56848 pb13kp | -1.962219 9.903291 -0.20 0.843 -21.37231 17.44787 pb14kp | -1.170412 6.142749 -0.19 0.849 -13.20998 10.86916 pb23kp | 33.85833 16.55699 2.04 0.041 1.407222 66.30944 _cons | -.5231671 .6357861 -0.82 0.411 -1.769285 .7229507 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | pb12pm | 3.52641 2.846929 1.24 0.215 -2.053468 9.106288 pb13pm | -.1336255 .9688568 -0.14 0.890 -2.03255 1.765299 pb23pm | -.0342859 .6867611 -0.05 0.960 -1.380313 1.311741 pb12kp | 2.512749 9.006194 0.28 0.780 -15.13907 20.16456 pb13kp | .9328929 6.805001 0.14 0.891 -12.40466 14.27045 pb14kp | 1.079067 4.136714 0.26 0.794 -7.028744 9.186878 pb23kp | 15.39896 11.41854 1.35 0.177 -6.980965 37.77889 _cons | 3.267114 .3980829 8.21 0.000 2.486885 4.047342 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome highvt==No Favorite is the comparison group) . mlogit highvt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp pb1213 pb1214 pb1223 pb131 > 2 pb1313 pb1314 pb1323 pb2312 pb2313 pb2314 pb2323, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -296.9724 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -276.69724 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -237.42283 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -222.09694 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -219.00025 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -218.21912 Iteration 6: log likelihood = -218.15172 Iteration 7: log likelihood = -218.15061 Iteration 8: log likelihood = -218.1506 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 529 LR chi2(54) = 157.64 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -218.1506 Pseudo R2 = 0.2654 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ highvt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | pb12pm | 5.947752 3.670935 1.62 0.105 -1.247148 13.14265 pb13pm | .4444037 1.421634 0.31 0.755 -2.341948 3.230756 pb23pm | .2690889 1.301124 0.21 0.836 -2.281068 2.819245 pb12kp | 8.180683 11.02204 0.74 0.458 -13.42211 29.78348 pb13kp | -16.44623 9.300614 -1.77 0.077 -34.6751 1.78264 pb14kp | -5.898286 5.354935 -1.10 0.271 -16.39377 4.597194 pb23kp | 32.62373 14.70783 2.22 0.027 3.796905 61.45055 pb1213 | -35.44028 55.31708 -0.64 0.522 -143.8598 72.97921 pb1214 | -52.48244 40.8665 -1.28 0.199 -132.5793 27.61444 pb1223 | -69.68115 115.7933 -0.60 0.547 -296.6318 157.2695 pb1312 | -8.324966 30.74866 -0.27 0.787 -68.59124 51.94131 pb1313 | 19.04811 29.97248 0.64 0.525 -39.69688 77.7931 pb1314 | 6.846837 17.12403 0.40 0.689 -26.71564 40.40931 pb1323 | -3.648226 25.22016 -0.14 0.885 -53.07883 45.78238 pb2312 | -13.326 21.10385 -0.63 0.528 -54.6888 28.03679 pb2313 | -19.6407 23.59046 -0.83 0.405 -65.87716 26.59576 pb2314 | -1.322515 18.10896 -0.07 0.942 -36.81543 34.1704 pb2323 | -17.18221 36.61401 -0.47 0.639 -88.94435 54.57994 _cons | 1.661535 .5377832 3.09 0.002 .6074989 2.71557 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | pb12pm | 2.37063 6.031518 0.39 0.694 -9.450929 14.19219 pb13pm | -3.238902 2.095615 -1.55 0.122 -7.346233 .8684282 pb23pm | 6.008223 2.7599 2.18 0.029 .5989181 11.41753 pb12kp | 20.82545 17.85757 1.17 0.244 -14.17475 55.82564 pb13kp | -10.98347 14.66778 -0.75 0.454 -39.73179 17.76485 pb14kp | -2.010767 8.53543 -0.24 0.814 -18.7399 14.71837 pb23kp | 44.79965 22.38474 2.00 0.045 .9263725 88.67293 pb1213 | 32.76267 90.38332 0.36 0.717 -144.3854 209.9107 pb1214 | 5.975071 63.67394 0.09 0.925 -118.8236 130.7737 pb1223 | -179.9727 155.759 -1.16 0.248 -485.2546 125.3093 pb1312 | 16.58213 41.33068 0.40 0.688 -64.42451 97.58878 pb1313 | -43.78923 47.83917 -0.92 0.360 -137.5523 49.97381 pb1314 | -4.578974 22.2633 -0.21 0.837 -48.21423 39.05629 pb1323 | 82.63866 46.37219 1.78 0.075 -8.249153 173.5265 pb2312 | 156.1003 47.89162 3.26 0.001 62.23442 249.9661 pb2313 | -86.23609 46.5528 -1.85 0.064 -177.4779 5.005721 pb2314 | -25.80385 31.03151 -0.83 0.406 -86.6245 35.01679 pb2323 | 122.3556 70.82481 1.73 0.084 -16.45848 261.1697 _cons | -1.552306 1.092943 -1.42 0.156 -3.694435 .589823 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | pb12pm | 5.394165 3.404712 1.58 0.113 -1.278948 12.06728 pb13pm | -.1829022 1.279535 -0.14 0.886 -2.690746 2.324941 pb23pm | .0572834 1.23603 0.05 0.963 -2.365291 2.479858 pb12kp | 6.955053 9.997734 0.70 0.487 -12.64014 26.55025 pb13kp | -7.114703 8.421061 -0.84 0.398 -23.61968 9.390273 pb14kp | 1.718074 4.879336 0.35 0.725 -7.845248 11.2814 pb23kp | 20.39607 13.21133 1.54 0.123 -5.497671 46.28981 pb1213 | -6.819491 50.63337 -0.13 0.893 -106.0591 92.4201 pb1214 | -37.73211 37.34725 -1.01 0.312 -110.9314 35.46715 pb1223 | -26.11453 108.6633 -0.24 0.810 -239.0906 186.8616 pb1312 | 17.12647 28.24869 0.61 0.544 -38.23994 72.49288 pb1313 | 9.230681 27.87245 0.33 0.741 -45.39832 63.85968 pb1314 | 5.084936 15.89479 0.32 0.749 -26.06828 36.23815 pb1323 | 4.702027 23.71003 0.20 0.843 -41.76878 51.17284 pb2312 | 6.044817 19.46308 0.31 0.756 -32.10213 44.19176 pb2313 | -39.42293 22.74318 -1.73 0.083 -83.99874 5.152875 pb2314 | 3.407538 17.23299 0.20 0.843 -30.3685 37.18358 pb2323 | 8.08662 34.83232 0.23 0.816 -60.18347 76.35671 _cons | 3.308387 .4960582 6.67 0.000 2.336131 4.280644 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome highvt==No Favorite is the comparison group) . mlogit highvt pmwin pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -296.9724 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -259.70292 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -243.79462 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -243.16329 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -243.1498 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -243.14977 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 529 LR chi2(24) = 107.65 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -243.14977 Pseudo R2 = 0.1812 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ highvt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | pmwin | .0789947 .9468844 0.08 0.934 -1.776865 1.934854 pb12pm | 4.113526 3.071497 1.34 0.180 -1.906499 10.13355 pb13pm | .4372922 1.072211 0.41 0.683 -1.664203 2.538787 pb23pm | -.1290265 .7523354 -0.17 0.864 -1.603577 1.345524 pb12kp | 8.360711 9.932467 0.84 0.400 -11.10657 27.82799 pb13kp | -15.30855 7.327622 -2.09 0.037 -29.67043 -.946678 pb14kp | -6.474483 4.524847 -1.43 0.152 -15.34302 2.394054 pb23kp | 31.64944 12.57163 2.52 0.012 7.009489 56.28939 _cons | 1.4406 .8842797 1.63 0.103 -.2925563 3.173756 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | pmwin | -1.37447 1.158113 -1.19 0.235 -3.644329 .8953896 pb12pm | -2.380634 4.335619 -0.55 0.583 -10.87829 6.117023 pb13pm | .4262788 1.253388 0.34 0.734 -2.030317 2.882875 pb23pm | .4351794 1.219223 0.36 0.721 -1.954454 2.824813 pb12kp | 12.74804 13.25651 0.96 0.336 -13.23425 38.73033 pb13kp | -1.925503 10.21198 -0.19 0.850 -21.94061 18.0896 pb14kp | -1.238327 6.091109 -0.20 0.839 -13.17668 10.70003 pb23kp | 33.48102 16.73504 2.00 0.045 .6809466 66.28109 _cons | .4543542 1.034489 0.44 0.661 -1.573207 2.481916 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | pmwin | -.1087169 .8423005 -0.13 0.897 -1.759596 1.542162 pb12pm | 3.552452 2.853589 1.24 0.213 -2.040479 9.145384 pb13pm | -.1055309 .9943785 -0.11 0.915 -2.054477 1.843415 pb23pm | -.0407529 .6924707 -0.06 0.953 -1.397971 1.316465 pb12kp | 2.577913 9.028227 0.29 0.775 -15.11709 20.27291 pb13kp | .9154929 6.792499 0.13 0.893 -12.39756 14.22855 pb14kp | 1.060827 4.146979 0.26 0.798 -7.067102 9.188756 pb23kp | 15.46586 11.42742 1.35 0.176 -6.931467 37.86318 _cons | 3.355487 .7898783 4.25 0.000 1.807354 4.90362 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome highvt==No Favorite is the comparison group) . mlogit highvt pmwin pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp pb1213 pb1214 pb1223 > pb1312 pb1313 pb1314 pb1323 pb2312 pb2313 pb2314 pb2323, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -296.9724 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -283.91683 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -242.85497 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -233.99573 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -231.35019 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -229.90752 Iteration 6: log likelihood = -224.69431 Iteration 7: log likelihood = -221.50641 Iteration 8: log likelihood = -218.25086 Iteration 9: log likelihood = -216.9815 Iteration 10: log likelihood = -216.78388 Iteration 11: log likelihood = -216.7757 Iteration 12: log likelihood = -216.77566 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 529 LR chi2(57) = 160.39 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -216.77566 Pseudo R2 = 0.2700 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ highvt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | pmwin | .2971834 1.014314 0.29 0.770 -1.690836 2.285203 pb12pm | 5.74685 3.667663 1.57 0.117 -1.441637 12.93534 pb13pm | .3272943 1.481184 0.22 0.825 -2.575773 3.230361 pb23pm | .3328498 1.311731 0.25 0.800 -2.238096 2.903795 pb12kp | 8.037376 11.04844 0.73 0.467 -13.61717 29.69192 pb13kp | -16.35137 9.296843 -1.76 0.079 -34.57285 1.870103 pb14kp | -5.844669 5.369881 -1.09 0.276 -16.36944 4.680106 pb23kp | 32.42827 14.7315 2.20 0.028 3.555069 61.30148 pb1213 | -34.85369 55.66706 -0.63 0.531 -143.9591 74.25174 pb1214 | -53.40916 40.99487 -1.30 0.193 -133.7576 26.93932 pb1223 | -73.76593 116.42 -0.63 0.526 -301.9449 154.413 pb1312 | -10.23317 31.43342 -0.33 0.745 -71.84155 51.3752 pb1313 | 19.4569 30.03261 0.65 0.517 -39.40593 78.31973 pb1314 | 6.905277 17.29294 0.40 0.690 -26.98825 40.79881 pb1323 | -3.787502 25.53027 -0.15 0.882 -53.82591 46.2509 pb2312 | -13.31628 21.19363 -0.63 0.530 -54.85504 28.22247 pb2313 | -19.52279 23.45719 -0.83 0.405 -65.49804 26.45247 pb2314 | -1.652612 18.26357 -0.09 0.928 -37.44854 34.14332 pb2323 | -18.94398 36.5378 -0.52 0.604 -90.55675 52.66879 _cons | 1.434907 .9585347 1.50 0.134 -.4437869 3.3136 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | pmwin | -1.866268 1.521295 -1.23 0.220 -4.84795 1.115415 pb12pm | 1.36917 6.790543 0.20 0.840 -11.94005 14.67839 pb13pm | -2.426814 2.184604 -1.11 0.267 -6.70856 1.854932 pb23pm | 5.904466 2.876666 2.05 0.040 .2663044 11.54263 pb12kp | 22.91237 18.68202 1.23 0.220 -13.70371 59.52845 pb13kp | -11.27162 14.91155 -0.76 0.450 -40.49772 17.95449 pb14kp | -.7101076 8.744217 -0.08 0.935 -17.84846 16.42824 pb23kp | 45.24701 23.38788 1.93 0.053 -.5923991 91.08641 pb1213 | 47.75172 98.26984 0.49 0.627 -144.8536 240.3571 pb1214 | 19.68628 67.48078 0.29 0.770 -112.5736 151.9462 pb1223 | -165.6717 164.9792 -1.00 0.315 -489.025 157.6816 pb1312 | 37.68187 47.31506 0.80 0.426 -55.05395 130.4177 pb1313 | -62.8891 50.47807 -1.25 0.213 -161.8243 36.04609 pb1314 | -8.11829 23.00501 -0.35 0.724 -53.20728 36.9707 pb1323 | 106.0941 57.92549 1.83 0.067 -7.43776 219.626 pb2312 | 142.8865 47.76863 2.99 0.003 49.26175 236.5113 pb2313 | -74.70641 49.75441 -1.50 0.133 -172.2233 22.81044 pb2314 | -26.84855 30.39674 -0.88 0.377 -86.42506 32.72796 pb2323 | 92.33295 73.7005 1.25 0.210 -52.11738 236.7833 _cons | -.5669755 1.340872 -0.42 0.672 -3.195037 2.061086 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | pmwin | .0573776 .9095834 0.06 0.950 -1.725373 1.840128 pb12pm | 5.346343 3.391608 1.58 0.115 -1.301087 11.99377 pb13pm | -.2272037 1.335448 -0.17 0.865 -2.844635 2.390227 pb23pm | .0810453 1.243765 0.07 0.948 -2.35669 2.518781 pb12kp | 6.960049 10.04266 0.69 0.488 -12.72321 26.64331 pb13kp | -7.038602 8.414695 -0.84 0.403 -23.5311 9.453898 pb14kp | 1.766602 4.890656 0.36 0.718 -7.818908 11.35211 pb23kp | 20.28417 13.22025 1.53 0.125 -5.627056 46.19539 pb1213 | -6.391395 50.94699 -0.13 0.900 -106.2457 93.46286 pb1214 | -38.38099 37.50197 -1.02 0.306 -111.8835 35.12153 pb1223 | -28.02295 108.9578 -0.26 0.797 -241.5762 185.5303 pb1312 | 16.40451 28.95363 0.57 0.571 -40.34356 73.15257 pb1313 | 8.979261 27.90414 0.32 0.748 -45.71184 63.67036 pb1314 | 5.037625 16.02526 0.31 0.753 -26.37131 36.44656 pb1323 | 4.767782 24.01077 0.20 0.843 -42.29247 51.82803 pb2312 | 6.088512 19.5537 0.31 0.756 -32.23604 44.41306 pb2313 | -39.0843 22.59036 -1.73 0.084 -83.3606 5.191999 pb2314 | 3.218672 17.37877 0.19 0.853 -30.84308 37.28043 pb2323 | 7.31661 34.67724 0.21 0.833 -60.64953 75.28275 _cons | 3.267108 .8649851 3.78 0.000 1.571768 4.962447 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome highvt==No Favorite is the comparison group) . mlogit high6vt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -577.81395 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -530.13865 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -514.33548 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -513.59627 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -513.57152 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -513.57139 Iteration 6: log likelihood = -513.57139 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 623 LR chi2(35) = 128.49 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -513.57139 Pseudo R2 = 0.1112 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high6vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand U~y | pb12pm | 6.710728 4.257044 1.58 0.115 -1.632925 15.05438 pb13pm | .292635 1.277445 0.23 0.819 -2.211111 2.796381 pb23pm | 1.069299 1.099215 0.97 0.331 -1.085124 3.223721 pb12kp | -5.682985 16.36392 -0.35 0.728 -37.75568 26.38971 pb13kp | 1.425139 12.75941 0.11 0.911 -23.58284 26.43311 pb14kp | 11.42115 8.454215 1.35 0.177 -5.148806 27.99111 pb23kp | -6.691649 20.95467 -0.32 0.749 -47.76205 34.37875 _cons | 3.545018 .8349171 4.25 0.000 1.90861 5.181425 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- No Favorit~) | pb12pm | 3.151162 4.992831 0.63 0.528 -6.634606 12.93693 pb13pm | .0383088 1.56167 0.02 0.980 -3.022509 3.099127 pb23pm | .7117008 1.26539 0.56 0.574 -1.768419 3.19182 pb12kp | -10.35501 18.38591 -0.56 0.573 -46.39073 25.68071 pb13kp | 6.277447 14.27606 0.44 0.660 -21.70311 34.258 pb14kp | 14.17072 9.3025 1.52 0.128 -4.061842 32.40329 pb23kp | -26.75082 23.55439 -1.14 0.256 -72.91658 19.41495 _cons | 1.446145 .9121566 1.59 0.113 -.3416496 3.233939 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | pb12pm | 7.377258 4.295505 1.72 0.086 -1.041777 15.79629 pb13pm | .5374123 1.292531 0.42 0.678 -1.995903 3.070727 pb23pm | .5819343 1.096024 0.53 0.595 -1.566233 2.730102 pb12kp | .9343143 16.55744 0.06 0.955 -31.51766 33.38629 pb13kp | -10.62915 12.8473 -0.83 0.408 -35.80939 14.55109 pb14kp | 7.55122 8.526482 0.89 0.376 -9.160378 24.26282 pb23kp | 9.428666 20.97507 0.45 0.653 -31.68172 50.53905 _cons | 2.90221 .8459436 3.43 0.001 1.244191 4.560229 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | pb12pm | -.1706599 5.13614 -0.03 0.973 -10.23731 9.895989 pb13pm | .0599312 1.415159 0.04 0.966 -2.71373 2.833592 pb23pm | 1.145846 1.506445 0.76 0.447 -1.806732 4.098425 pb12kp | 2.649119 18.45425 0.14 0.886 -33.52054 38.81878 pb13kp | 3.581818 14.50817 0.25 0.805 -24.85366 32.0173 pb14kp | 12.39669 9.517144 1.30 0.193 -6.256573 31.04995 pb23kp | 10.53041 23.55274 0.45 0.655 -35.63211 56.69294 _cons | .9175299 .9661437 0.95 0.342 -.976077 2.811137 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | pb12pm | 6.650284 4.191036 1.59 0.113 -1.563995 14.86456 pb13pm | -.1448856 1.242984 -0.12 0.907 -2.58109 2.291319 pb23pm | .6628366 1.065704 0.62 0.534 -1.425905 2.751578 pb12kp | -6.373426 16.13363 -0.40 0.693 -37.99475 25.2479 pb13kp | 6.448369 12.62067 0.51 0.609 -18.28769 31.18443 pb14kp | 15.13858 8.380149 1.81 0.071 -1.286211 31.56337 pb23kp | -9.915909 20.6205 -0.48 0.631 -50.33135 30.49953 _cons | 4.704137 .8272859 5.69 0.000 3.082686 6.325587 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome high6vt==Unranked Party Another Cand is the comparison group) . mlogit high6vt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp pb1213 pb1214 pb1223 pb13 > 12 pb1313 pb1314 pb1323 pb2312 pb2313 pb2314 pb2323, basecategory(1); Iteration 0: log likelihood = -577.81395 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -516.63202 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -484.12783 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -478.12947 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -476.76097 Iteration 5: log likelihood = -476.67727 Iteration 6: log likelihood = -476.67635 Iteration 7: log likelihood = -476.67635 Multinomial regression Number of obs = 623 LR chi2(90) = 202.28 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000 Log likelihood = -476.67635 Pseudo R2 = 0.1750 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ high6vt | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand U~y | pb12pm | 3.407144 6.913951 0.49 0.622 -10.14395 16.95824 pb13pm | -3.568935 3.578863 -1.00 0.319 -10.58338 3.445506 pb23pm | 1.811608 1.942688 0.93 0.351 -1.995991 5.619206 pb12kp | -9.232828 23.23268 -0.40 0.691 -54.76805 36.30239 pb13kp | 13.7965 16.61707 0.83 0.406 -18.77235 46.36536 pb14kp | 21.24477 12.35616 1.72 0.086 -2.972853 45.46239 pb23kp | -11.34834 27.96341 -0.41 0.685 -66.15563 43.45894 pb1213 | -74.8741 111.004 -0.67 0.500 -292.438 142.6898 pb1214 | -56.6009 75.142 -0.75 0.451 -203.8765 90.67472 pb1223 | 85.46382 216.4336 0.39 0.693 -338.7383 509.6659 pb1312 | -60.27596 51.42034 -1.17 0.241 -161.058 40.50605 pb1313 | 20.58121 37.93731 0.54 0.587 -53.77455 94.93696 pb1314 | 7.325325 27.19764 0.27 0.788 -45.98108 60.63173 pb1323 | 42.73167 43.51294 0.98 0.326 -42.55213 128.0155 pb2312 | 1.959446 39.18855 0.05 0.960 -74.84869 78.76759 pb2313 | 3.001793 28.92457 0.10 0.917 -53.68931 59.6929 pb2314 | 8.984138 17.34497 0.52 0.604 -25.01138 42.97966 pb2323 | -10.18079 91.5716 -0.11 0.911 -189.6578 169.2962 _cons | 4.788144 1.573169 3.04 0.002 1.70479 7.871498 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- No Favorit~) | pb12pm | -2.059268 7.531637 -0.27 0.785 -16.82101 12.70247 pb13pm | -3.293038 3.746325 -0.88 0.379 -10.6357 4.049624 pb23pm | 1.599676 2.236601 0.72 0.474 -2.783982 5.983334 pb12kp | -19.82325 25.04509 -0.79 0.429 -68.91072 29.26422 pb13kp | 26.50329 18.34484 1.44 0.149 -9.451932 62.45851 pb14kp | 21.56535 13.17378 1.64 0.102 -4.254784 47.38549 pb23kp | -38.32964 30.63169 -1.25 0.211 -98.36664 21.70737 pb1213 | -64.82071 120.1531 -0.54 0.590 -300.3164 170.675 pb1214 | -16.75199 81.46843 -0.21 0.837 -176.4272 142.9232 pb1223 | 61.67453 239.443 0.26 0.797 -407.625 530.9741 pb1312 | -65.363 57.62506 -1.13 0.257 -178.306 47.58004 pb1313 | 16.45969 45.22788 0.36 0.716 -72.18532 105.1047 pb1314 | -6.909746 31.07587 -0.22 0.824 -67.81733 53.99784 pb1323 | 21.98023 47.71979 0.46 0.645 -71.54884 115.5093 pb2312 | -17.90712 42.57224 -0.42 0.674 -101.3472 65.53293 pb2313 | 51.33013 35.55497 1.44 0.149 -18.35633 121.0166 pb2314 | -3.879905 23.7745 -0.16 0.870 -50.47707 42.71726 pb2323 | -48.39204 96.1952 -0.50 0.615 -236.9312 140.1471 _cons | 2.655747 1.637758 1.62 0.105 -.5542 5.865694 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Cand A~d | pb12pm | 4.387142 6.984474 0.63 0.530 -9.302176 18.07646 pb13pm | -2.887193 3.60082 -0.80 0.423 -9.94467 4.170285 pb23pm | 2.110081 1.961406 1.08 0.282 -1.734204 5.954365 pb12kp | -8.970337 23.49848 -0.38 0.703 -55.02651 37.08584 pb13kp | 8.501508 16.85228 0.50 0.614 -24.52835 41.53137 pb14kp | 15.78303 12.42056 1.27 0.204 -8.560815 40.12687 pb23kp | -1.281901 27.94737 -0.05 0.963 -56.05774 53.49394 pb1213 | -97.75224 112.3771 -0.87 0.384 -318.0073 122.5028 pb1214 | -82.4927 76.27711 -1.08 0.279 -231.9931 67.00768 pb1223 | -21.909 215.392 -0.10 0.919 -444.0696 400.2516 pb1312 | -76.38385 52.22084 -1.46 0.144 -178.7348 25.96711 pb1313 | 32.84545 38.46459 0.85 0.393 -42.54377 108.2347 pb1314 | .1279021 27.31409 0.00 0.996 -53.40673 53.66254 pb1323 | 19.08535 41.30639 0.46 0.644 -61.87369 100.0444 pb2312 | -31.44354 39.56381 -0.79 0.427 -108.9872 46.10011 pb2313 | 31.5764 29.49013 1.07 0.284 -26.22319 89.37599 pb2314 | -7.133357 17.80131 -0.40 0.689 -42.02329 27.75657 pb2323 | -69.28648 90.96616 -0.76 0.446 -247.5769 109.0039 _cons | 4.337583 1.580355 2.74 0.006 1.240144 7.435023 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Fav Party ~e | pb12pm | -.3981056 8.418107 -0.05 0.962 -16.89729 16.10108 pb13pm | -5.35106 3.882379 -1.38 0.168 -12.96038 2.258262 pb23pm | 6.165358 2.93909 2.10 0.036 .4048472 11.92587 pb12kp | 1.244855 26.79057 0.05 0.963 -51.2637 53.75341 pb13kp | 11.66053 19.84356 0.59 0.557 -27.23214 50.55319 pb14kp | 20.95214 14.15245 1.48 0.139 -6.786155 48.69044 pb23kp | 13.19292 32.36934 0.41 0.684 -50.24982 76.63565 pb1213 | -44.75559 131.5014 -0.34 0.734 -302.4936 212.9824 pb1214 | 6.322604 91.26764 0.07 0.945 -172.5587 185.2039 pb1223 | -95.6253 230.7478 -0.41 0.679 -547.8826 356.632 pb1312 | -57.79387 58.28935 -0.99 0.321 -172.0389 56.45117 pb1313 | 1.533057 47.04423 0.03 0.974 -90.67194 93.73806 pb1314 | -23.21183 32.47155 -0.71 0.475 -86.85489 40.43123 pb1323 | 75.96283 48.44231 1.57 0.117 -18.98236 170.908 pb2312 | 125.8412 55.58651 2.26 0.024 16.89367 234.7888 pb2313 | -42.99072 49.96356 -0.86 0.390 -140.9175 54.93606 pb2314 | -10.75311 30.46004 -0.35 0.724 -70.4537 48.94747 pb2323 | 91.55788 108.0135 0.85 0.397 -120.1447 303.2605 _cons | 1.215375 1.823272 0.67 0.505 -2.358171 4.788922 -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Highest Ca~y | pb12pm | 3.687962 6.843044 0.54 0.590 -9.724159 17.10008 pb13pm | -3.608495 3.552359 -1.02 0.310 -10.57099 3.354001 pb23pm | 1.817147 1.907453 0.95 0.341 -1.921392 5.555686 pb12kp | -11.32053 23.04341 -0.49 0.623 -56.48478 33.84371 pb13kp | 18.40222 16.47049 1.12 0.264 -13.87935 50.6838 pb14kp | 23.66526 12.2702 1.93 0.054 -.3838797 47.7144 pb23kp | -15.82116 27.5817 -0.57 0.566 -69.88029 38.23798 pb1213 | -66.78227 110.2115 -0.61 0.545 -282.7929 149.2284 pb1214 | -64.10738 74.39041 -0.86 0.389 -209.9099 81.69514 pb1223 | 27.33104 213.3099 0.13 0.898 -390.7486 445.4107 pb1312 | -49.45752 50.42787 -0.98 0.327 -148.2943 49.37929 pb1313 | 23.62154 36.90391 0.64 0.522 -48.7088 95.95187 pb1314 | -1.656665 26.69849 -0.06 0.951 -53.98474 50.67141 pb1323 | 27.82775 40.40148 0.69 0.491 -51.35769 107.0132 pb2312 | -12.37839 38.02644 -0.33 0.745 -86.90884 62.15207 pb2313 | 12.07955 27.83356 0.43 0.664 -42.47323 66.63232 pb2314 | -1.466855 16.67205 -0.09 0.930 -34.14348 31.20977 pb2323 | -43.6476 90.03176 -0.48 0.628 -220.1066 132.8114 _cons | 5.995355 1.566634 3.83 0.000 2.92481 9.0659 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Outcome high6vt==Unranked Party Another Cand is the comparison group) . /*mlogit highpvt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp; > mlogit high6vt pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp; > mlogit highvt b12npm b13npm b23npm b12nkp b13nkp b14nkp b23nkp; > mlogit highvt pmwin b12npm b13npm b23npm b12nkp b13nkp b14nkp b23nkp; > mlogit highvt pmwin pb12pm pb13pm pb23pm pb12kp pb13kp pb14kp pb23kp;*/ > > log close; log: H:\israel99\Analyses\party-pmhigh3b.log log type: text closed on: 26 Mar 2002, 22:46:52 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------