Modeling & Assessment in Decision Analysis

TA10.1 Probabilistic Assessments in Practice

• Stephen Derby; Strategic Decisions Groups, 2440 Sand Hill Rd., Menlo Park, CA 94025; sderby@sdg.com

TA10.2 From Local Dependences to Model Structure: A Computer Aid for Building Influence Diagrams

• Marek Druzdzel; University of Pittsburgh, Dec. Sys. Lab, 206 SIS Bldg., Pittsburgh, PA 15260; marek@sis.pitt.edu
• Tsai-Ching Lu; University of Pittsburgh, Dec. Sys. Lab., 206 SIS Bldg., Pittsburgh, PA 15260;

TA10.3 Correlations in Expert Probability Assessments Due to Common Cause & Zero Sum Considerations

• Richard John; University of Southern California, Dept. of Psychology, Los Angeles, CA 90089-1061; john@uscmvsa
• Detlof Von Winterfeldt; University of Southern California, Sch. of Policy, Plannng & Dev., Los Angeles, CA 90089;

TA10.4 Assessing Dependence Measures for Decision-&-Risk-Analysis Models

• Robert T. Clemen; Duke University, Fuqua Sch. of Bus., Durham, NC 27708; clemen@mail.duke.edu
• Gregory W. Fischer; Duke University, Fuqua School of Business, Durham, NC 27708; fischer@mail.duke.edu
• Robert L. Winkler; Duke University, Fuqua Sch. of Bus., Durham, NC 27708; rwinkler@mail.duke.edu